The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Färjestad 51.4%
Draw 22.2%
Växjö Lakers 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
22.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
24.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Färjestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Färjestad's performance.
Växjö Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Växjö Lakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Färjestad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Växjö Lakers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Växjö Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Färjestad - Växjö Lakers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Thelin M. (G)
32. Persson L. (G)
32. Nygren M. (C)
8. Giuttari Z.
73. Mattsson A.
21. Cooper B.
22. Aslund P.
24. Henriksson K.
96. Tomasek D.
40. Rasmussen D. (A)
11. Nygard J. (A)
25. Elvenes L.
Line 2
27. Carlsson G.
11. Rafferty B.
74. Leivermann N.
49. Sahlin Wallenius L.
39. Philp L.
19. Gardiner R.
67. Zohorna R.
91. Robert F.
71. Lodin V.
13. McLaughlin D.
Line 3
48. Roos F.
6. Granberg P.
7. Bergkvist A. (A)
4. Lowe K. (C)
29. Steen O.
10. Suomi E.
13. Kellman J.
42. Kratz K.
98. Studenic M.
28. Gustafsson H.
Line 4
6. Wikman A.
36. Rosen E.
15. Berglund J.
41. Nilsson L. (A)
12. Jansson C.
17. Andersson E.
28. Alba E.
62. Agren M.
Substitutes
92. Forsell L.
70. Ahman A. (G)
33. Larmi E. (G)
Coaches
. Abbott C.
. Hellkvist B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
12:10, 1 - 0, Lodin V. (G), Philp L. (A), Wikman A. (A2)
13:49, 2 - 0, Zohorna R. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Nygren M. (A2)
19:57, 3 - 0, Roos F. (G), Philp L. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:04, Nilsson L. (2 min),
05:14, 3 - 1, Nilsson L. (G), Granberg P. (A), Suomi E. (A2)
06:06, Robert F. (2 min),
07:29, 4 - 1, Philp L. (G), Lodin V. (A), Bergkvist A. (A2)
07:40, Henriksson K. (5 min),
08:52, 5 - 1, Zohorna R. (G), Lodin V. (A), Bergkvist A. (A2)
10:32, Steen O. (2 min),
10:32, Persson L. (2 min),
18:54, 6 - 1, Mattsson A. (G), Tomasek D. (A), Nygard J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:25, 7 - 1, Kellman J. (G), Studenic M. (A), Carlsson G. (A2)
11:03, Bergkvist A. (2 min),
16:28, Cooper B. (2 min),
16:28, Forsell L. (2 min),
20:00, Studenic M. (2 min),
20:00, Studenic M. (Game Misconduct),
20:00, Lowe K. (2 min),
20:00, Lowe K. (Game Misconduct),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 0.
Recent performances by Färjestad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Växjö is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Färjestad has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Färjestad won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 54:62. (average 2.7:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Färjestad won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 2.8:2.8).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Farjestad
7
6
0
1
0
28:6
19
8
Vaxjo
7
2
1
1
3
23:26
9
Last Results with these Odds
Växjö Lakers - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.