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Current Win Probability
GKS Katowice 43.2%
Draw 21.3%
Polonia Bytom 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
20.9%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
20.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Katowice's form might have worsened.
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Katowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
GKS Katowice - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. LaCouvee C. (G)
30. Dyachenko B. (G)
5. Lundegard J.
34. Musiol D.
38. Englund P.
11. Kurnicki O.
95. Wronka P.
24. Bepierszcz M.
27. Anderson S.
9. Jarosz D.
98. Krezolek P.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
Line 2
40. Sredl M.
17. Gorny K.
22. Cap E.
23. Kubes J.
23. Bremer B.
61. Zajac M.
18. Pasiut G.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
10. Fraszko B.
91. Vorona O.
Line 3
15. Macias K.
77. Osenieks E.
4. Huttula J.
43. Hrebenyk A.
77. Hofman J.
12. Buyalsky A.
81. Monto J.
94. Mroczkowski C.
29. Ruokonen M.
21. Padakin P.
Line 4
7. Chodor B.
8. Bodora A.
16. Hornik A.
6. Kamenev Y.
87. Hofman J.
19. Kociszewski M.
26. Centkowski K.
38. Karasinski A.
51. Kosmeda M.
16. Petrazycki T.
Substitutes
35. Kieler M. (G)
1. Jaworski T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
06:57, 1 - 0, Krezolek P. (G), Macias K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:32, 1 - 1, Bepierszcz M. (G), Buyalsky A. (A), Wielkiewicz F. (A2)
05:42, 1 - 2, Padakin P. (G), Buyalsky A. (A), Mroczkowski C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3.
GKS Katowice has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bytom is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
GKS Katowice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bytom has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, GKS Katowice has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 107:58 (averaging 5.4:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Katowice against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 46:19 goals (averaging 5.1:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Bytom
9
7
0
0
2
41:18
21
5
Katowice
10
4
0
1
5
38:30
13
Last Results with these Odds
GKS Katowice - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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LaCouvee C. (G) 
Dyachenko B. (G) 
Lundegard J. 
Musiol D. 
Sredl M. 
Kubes J. 
Osenieks E. 
Huttula J. 
Buyalsky A. 
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