Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Losers stage

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Gherdëina		Ritten-Renon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.04	3.85	2.7	Watch
	1.95	4.03	2.89
	1.96	4.18	2.97	Watch
	2.05	4	2.63
	1.97	4.15	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	4.04 ↓ (4.11)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
45.4%

Draw
22.4%

Ritten-Renon
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

21.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ritten-Renon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Gherdëina - Ritten Renon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Plancker A. (G)	29. Furlong C. (G)
4. Senoner J.	10. Crespi J.
43. Guimond S.	16. Madsen P.
23. Deluca S.	94. Welychka B.
33. Esposito N.	23. Kostner S.
74. Biondi L.	15. Felicetti L.
Line 2
29. Buono C.	88. Insam M.
5. Linder B.	26. Marzolini M.
89. Kasslatter H.	86. Graf T.
19. Moroder S.	7. Cuglietta D.
22. Pitschieler S.	37. Ohler M.
Line 3
14. Vozovik D.	18. Uffelmann H.
68. Soracreppa S.	3. Tauferer D.
15. Dostalek V.	77. Oberrauch A.
93. Castlunger M.	8. Ohler R.
17. Luisetti M.	11. Lang M.
Line 4
37. Insam G.	5. March G.
16. Greci D.	38. Spornberger L.
7. Delucca T.	76. Oberrauch M.
	12. Prast P.
	82. Innerhofer P.
Substitutes
71. Rindone M. (G)	30. Plattner F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:56, 1 - 0, Dostalek V. (G), Vozovik D. (A), Luisetti M. (A2)
16:51, 1 - 1, Crespi J. (G), Welychka B. (A), Cuglietta D. (A2)
19:36, 1 - 2, Ohler M. (G), Cuglietta D. (A), Insam M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:08, 1 - 3, Felicetti L. (G), Welychka B. (A), Kostner S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 1.

Gherdëina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ritten-Renon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ritten-Renon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 36:81. (average 1.8:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 1.8:4.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
1	Ritten	7	6	0	0	0	1	31:13	18
9	Gherdeina	6	1	1	0	1	3	20:21	6

Last Results with these Odds

Gherdëina - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ritten-Renon - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
24.02.26	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	7:1 ✺
21.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWWW
- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
21.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:6 OT ✺
19.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Acroni Jesenice	6:0 ✺
17.02.26	Acroni Jesenice - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3 ✺
04.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
07.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	2:3
04.12.25	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	1:4
15.11.25	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	5:2
14.10.25	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	5:1
28.12.24	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	3:5
28.11.24	Gherdëina - Ritten-Renon	2:4
05.10.24	Ritten-Renon - Gherdëina	3:1

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