The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acroni Jesenice 38.1%
Draw 22.8%
Ritten-Renon 39.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
22.1%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
23.6%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acroni Jesenice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Ritten-Renon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Acroni Jesenice - Ritten Renon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Dukaric J. (G)
35. Vallini G. (G)
29. Magovac A.
88. Insam M.
15. Slibar O.
44. Blake C.
55. Sabolic R.
15. Felicetti L.
13. Leben Z.
23. Kostner S.
22. Svetina E.
29. Capannelli A.
Line 2
44. Mlakar T.
17. Schives D.
8. Urukalo Z.
26. Marzolini M.
20. Koblar G.
13. Markkula M.
18. Jakupovic A.
37. Ohler M.
42. Sturm J.
27. Miceli A.
Line 3
68. Wyatt J.
38. Spornberger L.
69. Oblak M.
16. Prast J.
71. Burgar N.
5. Oberrauch J.
70. Kapel R.
8. Ohler R.
77. Baloh D.
95. Spinell S.
Line 4
4. Zupancic A.
18. Uffelmann H.
7. Marn V.
3. Tauferer D.
24. Berc M.
82. Innerhofer P.
21. Zalokar G.
86. Graf T.
76. Oberrauch M.
Substitutes
30. Ulcar M. (G)
92. Rodel R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:32, 0 - 1, Capannelli A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:42, 1 - 1, Mlakar T. (G), Svetina E. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
16:47, 1 - 2, Miceli A. (G), Schives D. (A),
19:41, 1 - 3, Markkula M. (G), Capannelli A. (A), Marzolini M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acroni Jesenice won 2.
Acroni Jesenice has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ritten-Renon is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Acroni Jesenice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Acroni Jesenice has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:58 (averaging 3:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Acroni Jesenice against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:23 goals (averaging 3.6:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
D
LO
L
Pts
1
Acroni Jesenice
15
11
0
0
0
4
53:29
33
4
Ritten
12
9
1
0
0
2
45:24
29
Last Results with these Odds
Acroni Jesenice - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Ritten-Renon - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.