Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Gherdëina		Steel Wings Linz

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	3.7
	1.66	4.3	3.55
	1.67	4.4	3.3
	1.71	4.45	4.04
	1.69	4.55	3.64
	1.67	4.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	4.41 ↑ (4.36)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
54.4%

Draw
20.7%

Steel Wings Linz
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

21.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

20.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Steel Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steel Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gherdëina - Steel Wings Linz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 3.

Recent matches Gherdëina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Steel Wings Linz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Steel Wings Linz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gherdëina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gherdëina to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gherdëina won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Gherdëina won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
27.01.24	Merano Junior - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
25.01.24	Gherdëina - Celje	3:6 ✺
18.01.24	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	5:7 ✺
05.01.24	Celje - Gherdëina	5:2 ✺
03.01.24	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWLW
- Steel Wings Linz
Alps Hockey League
01.02.24	Celje - Steel Wings Linz	4:3 OT ✺
25.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	2:4 ✺
20.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Acroni Jesenice	3:2 OT ✺
18.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Celje	2:4 ✺
05.01.24	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
28.12.23	Steel Wings Linz - Gherdëina	4:5 OT
25.11.23	Gherdëina - Steel Wings Linz	3:4 OT
18.02.23	Steel Wings Linz - Gherdëina	6:2
26.01.23	Gherdëina - Steel Wings Linz	3:1
10.12.22	Steel Wings Linz - Gherdëina	4:6
10.09.22	Gherdëina - Steel Wings Linz	3:1
05.03.22	Gherdëina - Steel Wings Linz	6:2

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