Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday


	Steel Wings Linz		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.9	2.25
	2.4	3.95	2.24	Watch
	2.33	4.3	2.15
	2.56	4.07	2.38
	2.5	4	2.38
	2.42	4.3	2.23
	2.41	4.2	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)	4.1 ↓ (4.17)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steel Wings Linz
37.5%

Draw
22.3%

Merano Junior
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

22%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

21.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Steel Wings Linz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steel Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Steel Wings Linz won 3.

Steel Wings Linz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Merano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Steel Wings Linz won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Steel Wings Linz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steel Wings Linz
Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Acroni Jesenice	3:2 OT ✺
18.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Celje	2:4 ✺
05.01.24	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	5:4 OT ✺
03.01.24	Steel Wings Linz - Fassa	3:5 ✺
30.12.23	Cortina - Steel Wings Linz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	Merano Junior - Celje	5:4 ✺
05.01.24	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	5:4 OT ✺
02.01.24	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Merano Junior	6:2 ✺
30.12.23	Zell am See - Merano Junior	2:5 ✺
28.12.23	Merano Junior - EHC Lustenau	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
05.01.24	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	5:4 OT
28.10.23	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	4:3 OT
05.11.22	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	4:1
01.11.22	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	3:1
26.02.22	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	3:1
27.01.22	Merano Junior - Steel Wings Linz	4:5
28.12.21	Steel Wings Linz - Merano Junior	3:1

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