Match Info

Championship

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gornyak Arena (Rudny)


	Gornyak Rudny		Saryarka

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.10	2.18
	2.55	4.00	2.17	Watch
	2.48	5	2.06	Watch
	2.45	4.65	2.15
	2.50	4.20	2.13
	2.40	4.50	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.51)	4.41 ↑ (4.23)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak Rudny
36.8%

Draw
20.6%

Saryarka
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

21.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

22.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak Rudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Saryarka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Layurov V. (G)	71. Zjuzin A. (G)
11. Buivan S.	87. Bozhko V.
96. Gorozhaninov I.	44. Durglishvili R.
88. Kankin K.	61. Dyomin R.
7. Katkov A. (A)	70. Dyukarev V.
28. Krotov V.	22. Karaban D.
5. Kurshuk A. (A)	36. Korolinsky Y.
93. Lazarev S.	17. Likhotnikov A. (A)
82. Lyapunov N.	98. Lyulko V.
15. Manazhanov T.	96. Mikhaylov E.
19. Parkhomenko D.	23. Namestnikov Y.
35. Platonov D.	8. Nikulin V.
14. Rakhimov S.	19. Palmtag K.
42. Ryazanov D.	21. Polokhov K.
97. Shimin Y.	89. Ponomaryov K.
10. Shingareyev T.	33. Shulga V.
41. Stulov D.	3. Siksna E. (C)
71. Tserulnikov A.	77. Smolyaninov Y.
8. Utebayev R.	88. Stepanenko I. (A)
76. Yakovlev A.	15. Tusupbekov S.
17. Yulbarisov O. (C)	18. Volkov V.
Substitutes
30. Meider T. (G)	30. Ibragimov Z. (G)
81. Nikitin V. (G)	90. Kadochnikov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:16, 0 - 1, Dyukarev V. (G), Likhotnikov A. (A), Karaban D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:08, 0 - 2, Korolinsky Y. (G), Namestnikov Y. (A),
12:16, 0 - 3, Dyukarev V. (G), Likhotnikov A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:53, 1 - 3, Platonov D. (G), Lazarev S. (A), Kankin K. (A2)
19', 1 - 4, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 2.

Gornyak Rudny is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Saryarka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Gornyak Rudny has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gornyak Rudny in today's match, at odds of 2.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gornyak Rudny has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:72 (averaging 2:3.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gornyak Rudny against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 22:30 goals (averaging 2.4:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Gornyak Rudny	18	10	2	1	5	71:44	25
5	Karaganda	18	10	1	2	5	73:44	24

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak Rudny - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Saryarka - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka	5:3 ✺
03.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	7:1 ✺
02.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Aktobe	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	5:1 ✺
27.09.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- HC Saryarka
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka	5:3 ✺
02.10.26	Saryarka - Ertis Pavlodar	9:0 ✺
01.10.26	Saryarka - Ertis Pavlodar	8:0 ✺
28.09.26	Nomad - Saryarka	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Nomad - Saryarka	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.10.26	Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka	5:3
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
16.08.26	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	6:3
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
06.03.26	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	3:2 OT
03.03.26	Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka	1:4
01.03.26	Gornyak Rudny - Saryarka	3:2 OT
26.02.26	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	5:1
24.02.26	Saryarka - Gornyak Rudny	6:2

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