Match Info

Championship

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday

Location: Gornyak Arena (Rudny)


	Gornyak Rudny		Beibarys Atyrau

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.25	5.50
	1.31	5.45	6.45	Watch
	1.26	6	7.8	Watch
	1.30	5.70	6.75
	1.26	5.90	7.42
	1.30	5.50	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	5.63 ↑ (5.14)	6.7 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak Rudny
70.2%

Draw
16.2%

Beibarys Atyrau
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

17.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

18.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak Rudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Beibarys Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak Rudny than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibarys Atyrau than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Kudryavtsev A. (G)	98. Baydek A. (G)
11. Buivan S.	28. Aktayev A.
96. Gorozhaninov I.	70. Ananichev Ar.
27. Gurin V.	14. Asukhanov Y. (A)
88. Kankin K.	25. Avdeyenko A.
7. Katkov A. (A)	94. Dorofeyev Y.
28. Krotov V.	10. Gasnikov E. (C)
5. Kurshuk A. (A)	13. Guseinov I.
93. Lazarev S.	99. Gusev A.
82. Lyapunov N.	57. Gusseinov M.
15. Manazhanov T.	11. Ionkin M.
87. Mozzherin M.	24. Kazachenko I.
19. Parkhomenko D.	8. Kovalenko R.
14. Rakhimov S.	23. Kovzalov I. (A)
42. Ryazanov D.	27. Miller D.
10. Shingareyev T.	41. Miroshnichenko D.
41. Stulov D.	9. Shishov A.
8. Utebayev R.	80. Shlychkov V.
76. Yakovlev A.	97. Tkachyov V.
17. Yulbarisov O. (C)	18. Yerkinov D.
Substitutes
30. Meider T. (G)	50. Mikushin A. (G)
81. Nikitin V. (G)	90. Shefer R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:12, 0 - 1, Shishov A. (G), Gusseinov M. (A), Ananichev Ar. (A2)
17:02, 1 - 1, Shingareyev T. (G), Gurin V. (A), Yulbarisov O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
01:33, 2 - 1, Yulbarisov O. (G), Gurin V. (A), Parkhomenko D. (A2)
05:23, 3 - 1, Yulbarisov O. (G), Gurin V. (A), Kurshuk A. (A2)
13:21, 4 - 1, Lazarev S. (G), Gurin V. (A), Parkhomenko D. (A2)
17:36, 5 - 1, Utebayev R. (G), Kankin K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak Rudny won 4.

Gornyak Rudny is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Beibarys has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Beibarys may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak Rudny has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Beibarys has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Gornyak Rudny as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gornyak Rudny in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gornyak Rudny has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 74:55 (averaging 3.7:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gornyak Rudny against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 34:15 goals (averaging 3.8:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Gornyak Rudny: 3.14% Beibarys Atyrau: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Gornyak Rudny	16	9	2	1	4	66:39	23
8	Beibarys Atyrau	16	3	0	2	11	36:55	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak Rudny
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.09.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	5:1 ✺
21.09.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornyak Rudny	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Gornyak Rudny	4:3 ✺
17.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Gornyak Rudny	2:5 ✺
16.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Gornyak Rudny	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWW
- Beibarys Atyrau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.09.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	5:1 ✺
24.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Nomad	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Arlan Kokshetau	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Arlan Kokshetau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
27.09.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	5:1
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
19.08.26	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	6:1
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	2:5
06.02.26	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	1:4
06.12.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	6:1
05.12.25	Beibarys Atyrau - Gornyak Rudny	6:2
21.09.25	Gornyak Rudny - Beibarys Atyrau	3:2

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