The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nomad 58.8%
Draw 18.5%
Saryarka 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
20.7%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
21.1%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nomad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nomad's performance.
Saryarka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saryarka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nomad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saryarka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nomad - Saryarka Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -4.5 - Nomad (5.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nomad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Dudarkiyev J. (G)
71. Zjuzin A. (G)
10. Alibek A.
16. Borisevich A.
5. Boiko O. (C)
87. Bozhko V.
58. Ibragim S.
61. Dyomin R.
51. Kitarov T.
22. Karaban D.
31. Korolyov A. (A)
36. Korolinsky Y.
85. Makarov A.
17. Likhotnikov A. (A)
68. Mangisbayev A.
98. Lyulko V.
22. Medvedev D.
96. Mikhaylov E.
69. Merzlikin N.
23. Namestnikov Y.
84. Migunov A.
8. Nikulin V.
81. Muratov B.
19. Palmtag K.
87. Nikitin K. (A)
21. Polokhov K.
77. Ruslanuly A.
89. Ponomaryov K.
96. Shakshakbaev D.
95. Presnov D.
66. Shulga N.
33. Shulga V.
24. Simakhin A.
3. Siksna E. (C)
86. Simonov T.
77. Smolyaninov Y.
74. Suleimenov A.
88. Stepanenko I. (A)
17. Tsybin D.
13. Uatov O.
9. Tusupbekov R.
Substitutes
71. Nurek V. (G)
30. Ibragimov Z. (G)
90. Kadochnikov D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:38, 1 - 0, Alibek A. (G), Boiko O. (A), Muratov B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:32, 2 - 0, Makarov A. (G), Alibek A. (A), Muratov B. (A2)
17:14, 2 - 1, Likhotnikov A. (G), Siksna E. (A), Presnov D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:56, 3 - 1, Migunov A. (G),
12:58, 4 - 1, Korolyov A. (G), Kitarov T. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nomad won 4.
Nomad has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Saryarka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Nomad has faced a series of away games on the road.
Nomad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Nomad in today's match, at odds of 1.89.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nomad has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:65 (averaging 3.3:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nomad against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 40:35 goals (averaging 3.3:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Nomad Astana
23
17
3
2
1
99:52
42
4
Karaganda
24
15
1
3
5
98:54
35
Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now
Nomad Astana: 29.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Saryarka - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.93%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.