The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granit Chekhov 24.2%
Draw 20.5%
Kaluga 55.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
21.7%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
22.7%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granit Chekhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Granit Chekhov's form might have worsened.
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Granit Chekhov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:40, 1 - 0, Tkachenko A. (G), Nevokshenov M. (A), Soldatov N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:22, 2 - 0, Sidyakin D. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granit won 2.
In recent outings, Granit has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kaluga is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Granit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Granit has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Kaluga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kaluga holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Granit has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:47 (averaging 2.2:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Granit against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 17:25 goals (averaging 2.4:3.6 per game).
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