Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Granit Chekhov		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	2.19	4.05	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	4.05 ↑ (4)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granit Chekhov
41.3%

Draw
22.3%

Kaluga
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

22.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granit Chekhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Granit Chekhov - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granit won 3.

In recent matches, Granit has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kaluga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Granit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Granit has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Granit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 2.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Granit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 2.6:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granit Chekhov
RHL
15.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
02.04.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	5:6 OT ✺
01.04.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- MHK Kaluga
RHL
15.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Voevoda Podolsk - Kaluga	4:5 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Kaluga - Voevoda Podolsk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
15.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1
12.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1
11.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1
10.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	1:2 penalties
09.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	2:3
10.11.25	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	2:6
09.11.25	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	2:3 penalties

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