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Current Win Probability
Guildford Flames 30.3%
Draw 21.8%
Sheffield Steelers 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
20.8%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
21.9%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guildford Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guildford Flames's form might have worsened.
Sheffield Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Steelers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guildford Flames than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guildford Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Steelers than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Steelers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guildford Flames - Sheffield Steelers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Fazio J. (G)
1. Greenfield M. (G)
26. Kallen N.
65. Diffley B.
71. Boudrias K.
58. Cormier D.
95. Sanford C.
93. Archambault O.
63. Gosselin M.
74. Whistle B.
91. Waller J.
92. Balmas M. (A)
Line 2
59. Willets J.
59. Erkamps M.
77. Power J.
57. Roe L.
27. Gresock C.
71. Teissala L.
28. Alvaro M. (C)
25. Gettinger T.
67. Ducharme J.
63. Juusola M.
Line 3
5. Racine J.
2. Stucker R.
68. Neumann B.
77. Aarnio A.
98. Talbot S.
8. Tait R.
16. Jacome J. (A)
75. Dowd R. (C)
62. Jasper E. (A)
Line 4
3. Steele L.
72. Bjorkly Nordstrom I.
81. Collins S.
Substitutes
1. Arvanitis B. (G)
44. Brine L. (G)
19. Lewis E.
24. Milton Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
05:57, 0 - 1, Collins S. (G), Jasper E. (A), Bjorkly Nordstrom I. (A2)
07:28, 1 - 1, Willets J. (G), Sanford C. (A), Gosselin M. (A2)
15:26, 1 - 2, Jasper E. (G), Whistle B. (A),
16:57, 2 - 2, Boudrias K. (G), Willets J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:31, 2 - 3, Whistle B. (G), Archambault O. (A), Balmas M. (A2)
09:27, 3 - 3, Alvaro M. (G), Jacome J. (A), Neumann B. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
04:29, 4 - 3, Sanford C. (G), Talbot S. (A),
06:03, 4 - 4, Diffley B. (G), Bjorkly Nordstrom I. (A), Balmas M. (A2)
06:45, 5 - 4, Gresock C. (G), Waller J. (A),
08:05, 6 - 4, Gresock C. (G), Gosselin M. (A),
19:40, 7 - 4, Neumann B. (G), Gosselin M. (A), Ducharme J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guildford won 1.
In recent outings, Guildford has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sheffield Steelers is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guildford has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:81 (averaging 2.2:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guildford against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 26:32 goals (averaging 2.6:3.2 per game).