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Current Win Probability
HC Dukla Trenčín 48%
Draw 22.1%
Spišská Nová Ves 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
21.4%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
22.9%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Dukla Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Spišská Nová Ves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
HC Dukla Trenčín - Spišská Nová Ves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)
34. Outhouse G. (G)
58. Merkley R.
6. Romanak D.
2. Mikus J.
47. Martin C.
4. Descheneau J.
12. Skalos B.
26. Barron T.
18. Cormier X.
93. Sop M.
11. Martel D.
Line 2
89. Ferenc J.
83. Bellus M.
74. Hlavac M.
21. Ziak A.
92. Bubela M.
84. Jaaskelainen J.
72. Linden T.
9. Sramaty M.
41. Kudrna A.
75. Lepaus T.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.
5. Pisoja M.
7. Hain S.
33. Groch S.
22. Lunter L.
8. Kupco L.
91. Krajc S.
88. Palocko M.
9. Siska J.
91. Dzugan R.
Line 4
44. Hrenak M.
61. Kubat A.
14. Krajcovic A.
24. Stevuliak P.
18. Kalis M.
90. Lapsansky A.
11. Dudas T.
97. Frankovic M.
Substitutes
30. Latkoczy S. (G)
3. Surak F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
14:54, 0 - 1, Jaaskelainen J. (G), Lepaus T. (A), Ziak A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:35, 1 - 1, Linden T. (G), Merkley R. (A), Descheneau J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:39, 1 - 2, Martel D. (G), Skalos B. (A), Pisoja M. (A2)
19', 1 - 3, Martel D. (G), Ziak A. (A), Cormier X. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Dukla Trenčín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dukla Trenčín holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Trenčín has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:61 (averaging 2.5:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Trenčín against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:31 goals (averaging 2.8:3.1 per game).
Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now
Spisska Nova Ves: 7.27% Dukla Trencin: 2.98%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Spisska Nova Ves
9
5
2
0
2
33:23
19
7
Dukla Trencin
8
4
1
1
2
24:21
15
Last Results with these Odds
Spišská Nová Ves - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.7%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.