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Current Win Probability
HC Dukla Trenčín 29.7%
Draw 22.1%
Poprad 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
22.5%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
24.3%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Dukla Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Poprad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HC Dukla Trenčín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poprad than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poprad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HC Dukla Trenčín - Poprad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)
34. Belanyi F. (G)
8. Goljer A.
5. Bodak M.
74. Hlavac M.
71. Malina L.
4. Descheneau J.
10. Stancek M.
22. Varone P.
20. Kundrik P.
72. Safin O.
87. Majdan J.
Line 2
33. Hatala A.
29. Fereta S.
37. Rajnoha E.
7. Nemcik M.
13. Baptiste N.
26. Torok T.
9. Siska J.
25. Suchy M.
90. Lapsansky A.
94. Vyhonsky A.
Line 3
23. Drgon A.
52. Sproul R.
16. Becar S.
40. Lefebvre M.
88. Jakubec M.
18. Sotek A.
15. Bellerive J.
15. Urbanek J.
17. Stransky A.
24. Naus A.
Line 4
79. Laurencik M.
91. Calof A.
14. Krajcovic A.
27. Cracknell A.
91. Krajc S.
98. Bjaloncik P.
35. Hudec D.
Substitutes
93. Bezuch J.
41. Parks T. (G)
80. Junca J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:23, 0 - 1, Calof A. (G), Cracknell A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:00, 0 - 2, Bjaloncik P. (G), Bodak M. (A), Sotek A. (A2)
17:47, 1 - 2, Bellerive J. (G), Safin O. (A), Descheneau J. (A2)
19:08, 1 - 3, Naus A. (G), Cracknell A. (A), Fereta S. (A2)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 2.
Dukla Trenčín has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Poprad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Poprad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:55. (average 2.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Trenčín won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 2.7:1.9).