Match Info

SLOVAKIA: EXTRALIGA - ROUND 40

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Steel Arena (Košice)


	HC Košice		HC 19 Humenné

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	7.5
	1.22	6.75	8.75
	1.19	7.35	9.9	Watch
	1.18	5.9	11
	1.22	7.4	9.86
	1.22	6	8.5
	1.2	7.3	9.7	Watch
	1.22	6.4	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	6.64 ↑ (5.66)	9.29 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Košice
76.1%

Draw
13.9%

HC 19 Humenné
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

16.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

16.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Košice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HC Košice's performance.

HC 19 Humenné has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Košice than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HC Košice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC 19 Humenné than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches HC Košice won 3.

HC Košice is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches HC 19 Humenné is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match HC Košice is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches HC Košice won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28-16.

Including matches at home between the teams HC Košice won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Košice
Slovak Extraliga
26.01.24	HC Dukla Trenčín - HC Košice	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	HC Košice - Nitra	1:3 ✺
19.01.24	Spišská Nová Ves - HC Košice	1:2 penalties ✺
14.01.24	HC Košice - Zvolen	4:0 ✺
12.01.24	Slovan Bratislava - HC Košice	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWWW
- HC 19 Humenné
Slovak Extraliga
26.01.24	Dukla Michalovce - HC 19 Humenné	1:5 ✺
21.01.24	HC 19 Humenné - HC Dukla Trenčín	0:4 ✺
19.01.24	Liptovský Mikuláš - HC 19 Humenné	3:4 ✺
14.01.24	HC 19 Humenné - Nitra	4:1 ✺
12.01.24	Ice Tigers Nové Zámky - HC 19 Humenné	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
30.12.23	HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné	4:6
28.12.23	HC 19 Humenné - HC Košice	2:5
01.12.23	HC 19 Humenné - HC Košice	4:1
22.10.23	HC 19 Humenné - HC Košice	1:3
15.09.23	HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.23	HC 19 Humenné - HC Košice	0:2
09.08.23	HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné	5:0

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