Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	HPK U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	1.56	5.06	4.04	Watch
	1.5	4.4	4.4
	1.54	4.55	4.37
	1.5	4.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.91)	4.63 ↑ (4.13)	4.28 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPK U20
59.3%

Draw
19.5%

Vaasan Sport U20
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

22.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK U20's performance.

Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaasan Sport U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

HPK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:41, 1 - 0, Viitaluoma V. (G), Kostjukovs K. (A), Nummela T. (A2)
08:18, 1 - 1, Koivunen E. (G), Kuusisto S. (A), Kohvakka O. (A2)
15:43, 2 - 1, Pulli T. (G), Toivonen V. (A), Fagerstrom V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:47, 3 - 1, Saarelma N. (G), Toivonen V. (A), Fagerstrom V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:19, 3 - 2, Valtanen J. (G), Mourujarvi E. (A),
12:52, 4 - 2, Viitaluoma V. (G),
19:17, 5 - 2, Pulli T. (G), Lehtonen O. (A), Toivonen V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

HPK U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vaasan Sport U20 has had a series of away games.

HPK U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:58. (average 3.1:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 3.7:4.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Hameenlinna U20	10	7	0	2	1	46:22	23
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - HPK U20	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	KalPa U20 - HPK U20	4:3 penalties ✺
03.01.26	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	HPK U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	RoKi U20 - HPK U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - JYP U20	6:3 ✺
20.12.25	KalPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:2 ✺
19.12.25	JYP U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4 penalties ✺
13.12.25	HIFK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:1
16.11.24	HPK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:6
24.02.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	5:2
12.01.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	1:4
08.12.23	HPK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3
04.03.23	HPK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:8
15.10.22	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	4:0

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