Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Hokeja halle (Riga)


	HS Rīga		Punks Vilnius

	1	X	2
	2.04	4.1	2.7
	2.04	4.05	2.69
	2.04	4.42	2.71	Watch
	2	4	2.7
	2.05	4.15	2.71
	2	4.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	4.16 ↓ (4.34)	2.69 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HS Rīga
44.6%

Draw
21.7%

Punks Vilnius
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

21.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

21%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HS Rīga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Punks Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HS Rīga than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Punks Vilnius than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

HS Rīga - Punks Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kirpickins J. (G)	30. Vezan V. (G)
29. Ansons M.	94. Bacevicius R.
16. Ceslis K.	29. Cetvertak I.
13. Danilovs D.	73. Kudzevicius N. J.
38. Danovskis A.	16. Kutkevicius L.
39. Danovskis D.	44. Marcinkevicius H.
9. Erdmanis T.	62. Maunula A.
28. Kandis K.	22. Mazulis T.
7. Obuks K.	71. Michalevic I.
10. Polis R.	97. Miliunas M.
22. Rots S.	3. Motiejunas D.
11. Saviels M.	43. Mustonen H.
25. Spigulis G.	49. Poikola A.
47. Sprieslis L.	88. Ragas I.
14. Tamenieks K.	25. Redko A.
	89. Siekkinen J.
	10. Verenis P.
	99. Zeynalov K.
	13. Zuckovs I.
Substitutes
30. Plepis K. (G)	95. Baltrunas S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:41, 1 - 0, Polis R. (G), Spigulis G. (A), Obuks K. (A2)
16:09, 2 - 0, Saviels M. (G), Tamenieks K. (A), Rots S. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
09:24, 2 - 1, Verenis P. (G), Siekkinen J. (A), Cetvertak I. (A2)
11:58, 3 - 1, Sprieslis L. (G), Obuks K. (A), Spigulis G. (A2)
12:25, 4 - 1, Ceslis K. (G), Polis R. (A), Tamenieks K. (A2)
13:34, 5 - 1, Obuks K. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:34, 6 - 1, Rots S. (G), Spigulis G. (A), Tamenieks K. (A2)
08:21, 6 - 2, Poikola A. (G), Zeynalov K. (A), Mustonen H. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HS Rīga won 1.

In recent matches, HS Rīga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Punks Vilnius has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Punks Vilnius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, HS Rīga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:49. (average 3.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HS Rīga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	HS Riga	10	2	1	0	7	17:41	6
7	Punks Vilnius	7	2	0	1	4	18:38	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HS Rīga
Latvian Hokeja Liga
16.02.26	Panter Tallinn - HS Rīga	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	HS Rīga - Mogo	3:9 ✺
10.02.26	Riga Prizma - HS Rīga	3:4 ✺
31.01.26	HS Rīga - Energija Elektrėnai	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL
- Punks Vilnius
Latvian Hokeja Liga
11.02.26	Liepāja - Punks Vilnius	9:1 ✺
31.01.26	Punks Vilnius - Panter Tallinn	5:6 ✺
29.01.26	Punks Vilnius - Riga Prizma	3:6 ✺
27.01.26	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Zemgale LLU - Punks Vilnius	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
15.01.26	HS Rīga - Punks Vilnius	2:3 OT
23.11.25	Punks Vilnius - HS Rīga	4:2
22.11.25	Punks Vilnius - HS Rīga	3:4 penalties
05.03.25	HS Rīga - Punks Vilnius	2:6
16.02.25	Punks Vilnius - HS Rīga	4:1
15.02.25	Punks Vilnius - HS Rīga	3:0
22.12.24	HS Rīga - Punks Vilnius	1:3

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