Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Pramogų arena (Vilnius)


	Punks Vilnius		Riga Prizma

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.35	1.75
	3.06	3.78	1.84
	3.55	4.64	1.7	Watch
	3.4	4.33	1.67
	3.26	4.55	1.75	Watch
	3.3	4.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	4.33 ↓ (4.63)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Punks Vilnius
27.2%

Draw
20.8%

Riga Prizma
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

19.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.1%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Punks Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Riga Prizma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Punks Vilnius than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Prizma than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riga Prizma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Punks Vilnius - Riga Prizma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Pavliukov A. (G)	33. Auzins J. (G)
94. Bacevicius R. (C)	61. Apsitis K.
91. Belicenka B.	93. Barens T.
29. Cetvertak I. (A)	81. Birins M. (A)
9. Janusonis D.	12. Bluks A.
15. Kudrevicius L. (A)	17. Brahmanis E. (C)
5. Kudzevicius N. J.	95. Ezitis E.
16. Kutkevicius L.	71. Gabrans H.
62. Maunula A.	7. Grekovs I.
22. Mazulis T.	72. Jekimovs R. (A)
71. Michalevic I.	29. Jelenskis R.
97. Miliunas M.	37. Jerofejevs A.
3. Motiejunas D.	8. Kovalevskis R.
31. Mukovoz D.	80. Locmelis E.
43. Mustonen H.	92. Moruzs G.
49. Poikola A.	27. Purgailis R.
81. Regan N.	19. Stamurs R.
96. Siekkinen J.	69. Vorona R.
10. Verenis P.	83. Zaharovs D.
99. Zeynalov K.
26. Zuckovs I.
Substitutes
95. Baltrunas S. (G)	38. Eldmanis M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
06:49, 0 - 1, Jekimovs R. (G), Brahmanis E. (A),
07:43, 1 - 1, Verenis P. (G), Cetvertak I. (A),
10:41, 1 - 2, Brahmanis E. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:43, 1 - 3, Ezitis E. (G), Jekimovs R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
02:33, 1 - 4, Jekimovs R. (G), Birins M. (A),
05:20, 2 - 4, Mazulis T. (G), Janusonis D. (A), Zuckovs I. (A2)
08:47, 2 - 5, Locmelis E. (G), Vorona R. (A), Jekimovs R. (A2)
11:38, 2 - 6, Brahmanis E. (G), Jerofejevs A. (A), Purgailis R. (A2)
14:22, 3 - 6, Mazulis T. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Punks Vilnius won 2.

In recent matches, Punks Vilnius has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Prizma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Prizma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Prizma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Punks Vilnius won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 66:93. (average 3.7:5.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Punks Vilnius won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:47. (average 4:5.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Punks Vilnius	7	2	0	1	4	18:38	5
8	Riga Prizma	9	2	0	0	7	26:39	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Punks Vilnius
Latvian Hokeja Liga
27.01.26	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Zemgale LLU - Punks Vilnius	8:1 ✺
22.01.26	Punks Vilnius - Liepāja	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Energija Elektrėnai - Punks Vilnius	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	HS Rīga - Punks Vilnius	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- HK Riga Prizma
Latvian Hokeja Liga
27.01.26	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Mogo - Riga Prizma	10:4 ✺
22.01.26	HS Rīga - Riga Prizma	7:4 ✺
17.01.26	Liepāja - Riga Prizma	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Kyiv Capitals - Riga Prizma	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
27.01.26	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	6:3
11.12.25	Punks Vilnius - Riga Prizma	2:3 OT
09.10.25	Punks Vilnius - Riga Prizma	8:3
16.09.25	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	7:2
04.02.25	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	1:5
28.01.25	Riga Prizma - Punks Vilnius	6:7
18.01.25	Punks Vilnius - Riga Prizma	1:5

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