Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - ROUND 43

Date: 3 February 2023, Friday


	Heilbronner Falken		Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.5	3.2
	1.85	4.5	3.2
	1.81	4.25	3.25
	1.78	4.2	3.25
	1.82	3.99	2.95
	1.8	4	3.25
	1.81	4.35	3.34
	1.81	4.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	4.27 ↑ (4.25)	3.22 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilbronner Falken
50.4%

Draw
21.3%

Regensburg
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

21.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

20.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilbronner Falken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilbronner Falken than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Regensburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Heilbronner Falken - Regensburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Heilbronner Falken is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Regensburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Regensburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Heilbronner Falken will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heilbronner Falken won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilbronner Falken won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilbronner Falken
German DEL2
29.01.23	Heilbronner Falken - Landshut Cannibals	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - Heilbronner Falken	5:3 ✺
20.01.23	Heilbronner Falken - Lausitzer Füchse	5:6 OT ✺
17.01.23	Kassel Huskies - Heilbronner Falken	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	Heilbronner Falken - EHC Freiburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- EV Regensburg
German DEL2
29.01.23	Ravensburg - Regensburg	3:1 ✺
27.01.23	Regensburg - Kassel Huskies	4:5 ✺
22.01.23	Regensburg - Crimmitschau	1:2 OT ✺
20.01.23	Bayreuth Tigers - Regensburg	4:1 ✺
17.01.23	Regensburg - Landshut Cannibals	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
30.12.22	Regensburg - Heilbronner Falken	3:4 OT
04.11.22	Heilbronner Falken - Regensburg	1:5
04.10.22	Regensburg - Heilbronner Falken	3:2 penalties

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