Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Ilves U20		KooKoo U20

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.32	2.92
	2.16	4.48	2.49	Watch
	2.04	4.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.86)	4.3 ↑ (4.29)	2.74 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves U20
45.1%

Draw
21.3%

KooKoo U20
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

21.5%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

21.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves U20's performance.

KooKoo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KooKoo U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo U20 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KooKoo U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:43, 1 - 0, Mottard P. (G), Melanen J. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
18:25, 2 - 0, Harkimo D. (G), Frolo J. (A), Mottard P. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 0.

Ilves U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KooKoo U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

KooKoo U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

KooKoo U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 3.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 3.4:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	HPK U20 - Ilves U20	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Ilves U20	5:4 penalties ✺
05.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLW
- KooKoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.09.25	Jokerit U20 - KooKoo U20	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	TPS U20 - KooKoo U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
13.09.25	HPK U20 - KooKoo U20	3:4 penalties ✺
12.09.25	KooKoo U20 - HPK U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.02.25	KooKoo U20 - Ilves U20	6:2
18.10.24	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	1:3
18.11.23	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	0:5
03.09.22	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.22	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	3:5
Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.03.22	KooKoo U20 - Ilves U20	5:4 OT
25.02.22	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	7:3

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