Match Info

MHL

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Irbis Kazan		SKA-1946

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.09	3.16
	1.99	3.95	3.00
	2.10	4.29	2.70	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.64)	4.11 ↑ (4.05)	2.95 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irbis Kazan
46%

Draw
22.6%

SKA-1946
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

22.7%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Irbis Kazan's performance.

SKA-1946 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-1946 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irbis Kazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-1946 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Irbis Kazan - SKA 1946 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Irbis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Grigoryev G. (G)	30. Karbainov M. (G)
91. Gimadiev A.	88. Vilchinsky A.
50. Ivanov A.	54. Gorokhov S.
13. Gorodilov R.	22. Shamkiy N.
18. Kolomiytsev I.	98. Suzdorf G.
21. Chirkov M.	87. Timashkov M.
Line 2
26. Khatibullin S.	77. Kornilov I.
9. Gagiyev K.	8. Stefanishin I.
51. Davletshin I.	90. Marchenko T.
72. Tsaregorodtsev S.	71. Sobolev R.
10. Buzayev K.	78. Sulima V.
Line 3
30. Rezepov R.	95. Bilinchuk A.
77. Gainullin I.	25. Maltsev A.
29. Ghimadiev A.	92. Masiyansky M.
7. Nurgaleyev D.	11. Vasilyev V.
15. Kamalov A.	61. Silyutin N.
Line 4
34. Mustafin F.	24. Drozhzhin V.
17. Kalimullin A.	52. Zatsepin S.
63. Gatiyatulin A.	9. Fursov K.
84. Ovchinnikov A.	16. Savin D.
Substitutes
92. Khusayenov R.	81. Chervyakov I.
79. Saburin I. (G)	80. Rogatko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:00, 1 - 0, Chirkov M. (G), Gorodilov R. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
13:01, 2 - 0, Buzayev K. (G), Dulnev A. (A), Tsaregorodtsev S. (A2)
15:34, 3 - 0, Ghimadiev A. (G), Dulnev A. (A), Gainullin I. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:33, 4 - 0, Gorodilov R. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A), Dulnev A. (A2)
10:44, 5 - 0, Kolomytsev I. (G),
20', 5 - 1, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 2.

Irbis is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

SKA-1946 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Irbis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Irbis has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, SKA-1946 has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Irbis in today's match, at odds of 2.11.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Irbis has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:24 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Irbis against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:8 goals (averaging 4:2.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Irbis Kazan - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irbis Kazan
MHL
10.10.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 AET ✺
03.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	4:2 ✺
01.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW
- SKA-1946
MHL
11.10.26	Mikhaylov Academy - SKA-1946	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Mikhaylov Academy - SKA-1946	7:2 ✺
06.10.26	MHC Dynamo Moscow - SKA-1946	5:2 ✺
05.10.26	MHC Dynamo Moscow - SKA-1946	1:3 ✺
01.10.26	SKA-1946 - SKA-Akademiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.26	Irbis Kazan - SKA-1946	5:1
05.08.26	SKA-1946 - Irbis Kazan	3:5
05.08.24	SKA-1946 - Irbis Kazan	3:1
MHL
11.04.22	SKA-1946 - Irbis Kazan	2:0
08.04.22	Irbis Kazan - SKA-1946	3:4 OT
07.04.22	Irbis Kazan - SKA-1946	4:3 penalties
04.04.22	SKA-1946 - Irbis Kazan	4:1

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