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Current Win Probability
Mikhaylov Academy 38.5%
Draw 22.9%
SKA-1946 38.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.3%
21.9%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
22.9%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikhaylov Academy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikhaylov Academy's performance.
SKA-1946 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-1946 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhaylov Academy than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikhaylov Academy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-1946 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mikhaylov Academy - SKA 1946 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikhaylov Academy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Skryabin N. (G)
30. Karbainov M. (G)
12. Shutyayev D.
88. Vilchinsky A. (C)
77. Semak N.
54. Gorokhov S.
72. Boyarkin G.
22. Shamkiy N. (A)
88. Kudinov S. (A)
98. Suzdorf G. (A)
89. Kulagin I.
87. Timashkov M.
Line 2
55. Fedorov S. (C)
77. Kornilov I.
67. Mudrik Y.
25. Maltsev A.
92. Anuchin N.
90. Marchenko T.
86. Fedyayev D.
71. Sobolev R.
91. Vorfolomeyev M.
78. Sulima V.
Line 3
7. Vatrushkin M. (A)
95. Bondar E.
22. Doronin A.
8. Stefanishin I.
2. Stepanov Y.
92. Masiyansky M.
94. Kuznetsov Y.
11. Vasilyev V.
75. Pavlov M.
61. Silyutin N.
Line 4
8. Kharitonov G.
24. Drozhzhin V.
6. Morozov A.
52. Zatsepin S.
97. Ambrosov V.
9. Fursov K.
27. Bantyukov D.
16. Savin D.
17. Guryev V.
Substitutes
30. Levchenko V. (G)
81. Chervyakov I.
80. Rogatko A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
13:47, 0 - 1, Bondar E. (G), Marchenko T. (A),
19:38, 0 - 2, Timashkov M. (G), Vasilyev V. (A), Suzdorf G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:03, 1 - 2, Kulagin I. (G), Doronin A. (A), Kharitonov G. (A2)
11:53, 1 - 3, Shamkiy N. (G), Timashkov M. (A), Gorokhov S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:11, 1 - 4, Vilchinsky A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikhaylov Academy won 2.
In recent outings, Mikhaylov Academy has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
SKA-1946 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
SKA-1946 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, SKA-1946 has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mikhaylov Academy has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:80 (averaging 2.6:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mikhaylov Academy against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 35:43 goals (averaging 3.2:3.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
SKA-1946 - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.83%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.