Match Info

MHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Chaika		Irbis Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.11	3.74
	1.76	4.05	3.70
	1.74	4.29	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.66)	4.15 ↓ (4.31)	3.69 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
52.6%

Draw
22.3%

Irbis Kazan
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Irbis Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Chaika aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (-1%)

Chaika - Irbis Kazan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Irbis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Suchkov D. (G)	1. Grigoryev G. (G)
19. Anisimov A.	34. Mustafin F.
65. Chesnokov I. (C)	50. Ivanov A.
10. Shcherbakov K.	13. Gorodilov R.
12. Mishin V.	15. Kamalov A.
97. Kulyabin A.	37. Kolomytsev I. (C)
Line 2
73. Katin M.	9. Gagiyev K. (A)
81. Mullerov I.	26. Khatibullin S.
15. Matyuk A.	10. Buzayev K.
71. Laptev V.	51. Davletshin I.
93. Pugachyov G. (A)	72. Tsaregorodtsev S.
Line 3
23. Guryev S.	77. Gainullin I.
76. Belyakov K.	96. Devyatov Y.
7. Maximov R.	7. Nurgaliyev M.
72. Fogelnest M.	21. Chirkov M.
75. Melnikov Y.	44. Antonov Y. (A)
Line 4
51. Izmailov N. (A)	30. Rezepov R.
8. Kozin V.	19. Potapov Y.
16. Bessonov A.	63. Gatiyatulin A.
17. Burov Y.	71. Klimov D.
Substitutes
5. Gornov S.	17. Kalimullin A.
74. Sabitov M. (G)	79. Saburin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:21, 0 - 1, Kamalov A. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A), Gorodilov R. (A2)
00:50, 0 - 2, Tsaregorodtsev S. (G), Buzayev K. (A),
16:38, 0 - 3, Kalimullin A. (G), Kamalov A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 1.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Chaika could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Chaika is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chaika has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:52 (averaging 2.9:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chaika against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 22:21 goals (averaging 2.8:2.6 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
04.10.26	Loko - Chaika	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	6:1 ✺
29.09.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 OT ✺
26.09.26	Chaika - Tolpar	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Chaika - Tolpar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWL
- Irbis Kazan
MHL
04.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 AET ✺
03.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Stalnye Lisy	4:2 ✺
01.10.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Irbis Kazan - Tolpar	7:3 ✺
24.09.26	Molot Perm - Irbis Kazan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
07.09.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	3:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	3:2
MHL
10.04.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	0:3
08.04.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	2:3 OT
07.04.26	Chaika - Irbis Kazan	2:3 OT
04.04.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	2:3 OT
03.04.26	Irbis Kazan - Chaika	2:3 OT

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