Match Info

VHL

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Izhevsk)


	Izhstal		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.46	2.82
	1.96	3.35	2.7
	2.1	3.92	2.98	Watch
	2.03	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)	3.61 ↓ (4.1)	2.85 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izhstal
44%

Draw
24.7%

Zvezda Moscow
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

22.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Lysenkov N. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
23. Glebov G. (C)	73. Rusakov A.
50. Zhdanov Y.	3. Sidorov M. (A)
17. Dyuryagin D.	97. Churkin A.
10. Astashevsky S.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
41. Lukin V.	56. Vlasenko D.
Line 2
43. Ugolnikov A. (A)	23. Grushnikov A.
32. Rogov I.	15. Alexandrov D.
87. Gordin A.	53. Matveiko Y.
78. Komaristy A. (A)	98. Pankratov S. (A)
9. Zhabreyev A.	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 3
3. Zubarev A.	86. Gubanov A.
92. Murylev A.	7. Malyshev A.
19. Alekseev A.	42. Savvateyev V.
7. Pukelo K.	75. Averochkin M.
11. Kochurov D.	40. Anokhin P.
Line 4
36. Martynov K.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
44. Rogachev	14. Gusniyev A.
70. Shilov A.	74. Frolov N.
91. Gorfinyak E.	84. Lagoda G.
71. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)	81. Kloberdanets M. (G)
	37. Mikhailov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
15:51, 1 - 0, Alekseev A. (G), Pukelo K. (A), Ugolnikov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
19:19, 2 - 0, Zhabreyev A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
19:50, 3 - 0, Pukelo K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Izhstal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
24	Zvezda Moscow	14	3	2	1	8	33:45	11
29	Izhevsk	12	1	2	1	8	27:37	7

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 29.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
07.09.26	Izhstal - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:6 ✺
05.09.26	Izhstal - SKA-VMF	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	0:3 ✺
18.08.26	Molot Perm - Izhstal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
07.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:2 ✺
03.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	0:3 ✺
25.08.26	Khimik - Zvezda Moscow	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Zvezda Moscow - Buran Voronezh	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	4:1
05.12.25	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
16.03.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	3:4 OT
05.09.24	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
17.12.23	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 penalties
27.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	2:1
09.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	3:0

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