Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Bars Kazan		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.3	2.58
	2.17	3.2	2.5
	2.16	3.9	2.88	Watch
	2.11	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	3.54 ↓ (4.05)	2.67 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
41.2%

Draw
25.3%

Zvezda Moscow
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

23.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2%)

Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	73. Rusakov A.
39. Almetkin V.	49. Bryutov Y.
93. Barsukov I.	39. Sklokin M.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	94. Tochilkin A.
71. Shiksatdarov I.	56. Vlasenko D.
Line 2
76. Nikitin K.	15. Alexandrov D. (C)
18. Abrosimov R.	63. Martynov Y.
55. Sherstnyov D.	69. Maistrenko O.
98. Saberzyanov M.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
17. Gizatullin D.	97. Churkin A.
Line 3
53. Makhmutov A.	23. Grushnikov A.
62. Naumov G.	7. Malyshev A.
90. Ibragimov T.	19. Prokhorov A. (A)
28. Golubev D. (C)	75. Averochkin M.
23. Zinovyev D.	74. Frolov N.
Line 4
84. Safin A.	36. Shelkov M.
16. Toporkov V.	37. Mikhailov N.
64. Gazizov R.	53. Matveiko Y.
41. Klimkin I.	42. Savvateyev V.
61. Khasanov I.
Substitutes
70. Konovalov M. (G)	81. Kloberdanets M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
10:24, 1 - 0, Alshevsky S. (G), Golubev D. (A), Gizatullin D. (A2)
17:44, 1 - 1, Tochilkin A. (G), Sklokin M. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
18:28, 2 - 1, Nikitin K. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:21, 3 - 1, Shiksatdarov I. (G), Barsukov I. (A), Saberzyanov M. (A2)
03:41, 3 - 2, Bryutov Y. (G), Sklokin M. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:39, 4 - 2, Saberzyanov M. (G), Naumov G. (A), Makhmutov A. (A2)
18:54, 5 - 2, Gizatullin D. (G), Khasanov I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Zvezda Moscow could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Bars has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bars in today's match, at odds of 2.16.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bars has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:51 (averaging 2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 25:23 goals (averaging 2.1:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
17	Bars	18	9	0	1	8	42:54	19
25	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.1%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
10.10.26	Bars Kazan - Khimik	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:4 ✺
02.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
10.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:5 ✺
08.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT
15.09.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:5
03.03.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	3:1
15.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	7:3
26.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	3:1
14.10.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 OT

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