Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.13	4.1	1.98	Watch
	3.1	4.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.81)	4.18 ↑ (3.6)	1.99 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
30.2%

Draw
22.5%

Zvezda Moscow
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Mosin V. (G)	64. Andreyanov P. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	96. Dryagilev A.
39. Almetkin V.	8. Bobryashov N.
64. Gazizov R.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	98. Pankratov S. (A)
93. Barsukov I.	79. Dronyk V.
Line 2
75. Ivanov A.	32. Rogov I.
60. Lisov N.	49. Bryutov Y. (A)
10. Galeyev I.	97. Churkin A.
28. Golubev D. (C)	88. Almazov N.
41. Klimkin I.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 3
26. Taimazov A.	80. Barabosha A.
22. Bardin I.	6. Gordeyev M.
23. Zinoviev D.	39. Kuzminov Y.
72. Mekhovov I.	75. Averochkin M.
88. Alshevsky Y.	47. Shamshurin S.
Line 4
5. Mubaraksins A.	82. Smyshlyayev P.
84. Safin A.	62. Shalyshkin N.
19. Onishko N.	95. Vasin M.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	23. Khulapov D.
98. Saberzyanov M.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
	90. Pautov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
06:00, 0 - 1, Churkin A. (G), Almazov N. (A), Solovyov Y. (A2)
18:23, 0 - 2, Vasin M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:08, 0 - 3, Kuzminov Y. (G), Solovyov Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:20, 0 - 4, Churkin A. (G), Kuzminov Y. (A), Khulapov D. (A2)
12:06, 0 - 5, Shalyshkin N. (G), Khulapov D. (A),
17:25, 1 - 5, Galeyev I. (G), Zinoviev D. (A), Klimkin I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 2.

Bars is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zvezda Moscow's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of away games.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

Zvezda Moscow could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 37:46. (average 1.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.2:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
10.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
04.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
13.09.25	CSK VVS Samara - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
09.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Kristall Saratov	3:2 penalties ✺
07.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
05.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.03.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	3:1
15.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	7:3
26.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	3:1
14.10.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 OT
VHL
02.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties
22.09.22	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2

Upcoming Matches