Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.67	2.31
	2.25	3.55	2.2
	2.44	3.82	2.5	Watch
	2.26	3.8	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 (2.32)	3.71 ↓ (3.92)	2.37 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
38.4%

Draw
24%

Izhstal
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bars Kazan - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Chibizov A. (G)	33. Lysenkov N. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	23. Glebov G. (C)
39. Almetkin V.	50. Zhdanov Y.
17. Gizatullin D.	87. Gordin A.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	10. Astashevsky S. (A)
71. Shiksatdarov I.	9. Zhabreyev A.
Line 2
62. Naumov G.	77. Sapunov I.
18. Abrosimov R.	3. Zubarev A.
90. Ibragimov T.	17. Dyuryagin D.
98. Saberzyanov M.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
93. Barsukov I.	97. Kozhukhov I.
Line 3
53. Makhmutov A.	32. Rogov I.
76. Nikitin K.	92. Murylev A.
41. Klimkin I.	19. Alekseev A.
28. Golubev D. (C)	7. Pukelo K.
23. Zinovyev D.	71. Dolgopyatov N.
Line 4
84. Safin A.	36. Martynov K.
16. Toporkov V.	70. Shilov A.
96. Andreyev Y.	91. Gorfinyak E.
55. Sherstnyov D.	13. Piskunov P.
10. Gayev V.
Substitutes
70. Konovalov M. (G)	28. Rakcheyev N.
	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:00, 1 - 0, Ibragimov T. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Barsukov I. (A2)
07:45, 2 - 0, Gizatullin D. (G), Alshevsky S. (A),
16:57, 2 - 1, Gordin A. (G), Astashevsky S. (A), Glebov G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:22, 3 - 1, Alshevsky S. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Shiksatdarov I. (A2)
10:19, 3 - 2, Komaristy A. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A), Zubarev A. (A2)
15:03, 3 - 3, Pukelo K. (G), Dolgopyatov N. (A), Alekseev A. (A2)
19:03, 4 - 3, Almetkin V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

Bars has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Izhstal is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Bars has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bars has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:55 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 39:40 goals (averaging 3.3:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Bars	13	6	0	1	6	30:42	13
29	Izhevsk	11	1	2	1	7	25:34	7

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
18.09.26	Bars Kazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 ✺
13.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	7:4 ✺
11.09.26	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Tambov - Bars Kazan	2:1 OT ✺
07.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
18.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Izhstal	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Izhstal - Khimik	2:4 ✺
09.09.26	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Izhstal - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	0:3
VHL
03.02.26	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:3 OT
12.10.25	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	0:3
21.01.25	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	5:2
30.10.24	Izhstal - Bars Kazan	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.24	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	5:6 OT
16.08.24	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	6:5

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