Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	KalPa U20		JYP U20

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.79	2.4
	2.31	4.06	2.46	Watch
	2.25	4	2.38
	2.32	4.05	2.33
	2.1	4.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.88)	4.03 ↓ (4.18)	2.4 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
40.2%

Draw
22.3%

JYP U20
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

22%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KalPa U20's form might have worsened.

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JYP U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KalPa U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JYP U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KalPa U20 - JYP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
15:25, 0 - 1, Ilvonen E. (G), Svoboda V. (A), Vilander V. (A2)
15:50, 0 - 2, Heiskanen T. (G), Vilander V. (A), Svoboda V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:45, 0 - 3, Vapola M. (G), Tiilikainen J. (A), Koivu N. (A2)
13:17, 1 - 3, Miilunpohja R. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Happonen E. (A2)
16:58, 2 - 3, Miilunpohja R. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Happonen E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:50, 2 - 4, Pettinen O. (G), Svoboda V. (A), Aliranta E. (A2)
04:14, 3 - 4, Kekarainen S. (Penalty Shot),
19:49, 3 - 5, Aliranta E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 3.

KalPa U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, JYP U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, JYP U20 has had a series of home games.

KalPa U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 67:63. (average 3.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 3.9:3).

Last Results with these Odds

KalPa U20 - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.95%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - KalPa U20	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	KalPa U20 - KooKoo U20	2:3 penalties ✺
27.11.25	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	KalPa U20 - SaiPa U20	12:2 ✺
14.11.25	KalPa U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	JYP U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	JYP U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 ✺
27.11.25	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	JYP U20 - Pelicans U20	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
27.11.25	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	3:2
25.01.25	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	1:4
01.11.24	KalPa U20 - JYP U20	1:3
07.09.24	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	4:7
02.02.24	KalPa U20 - JYP U20	4:3
22.10.23	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	3:2
10.12.22	JYP U20 - KalPa U20	0:3

KalPa U20 - JYP U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide