Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLETTAN SÖDRA - ROUND 3

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday


	Kalmar		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	4.2
	1.43	4.8	5.4
	1.43	4.5	5.2
	1.41	4.66	4.61
	1.5	4.75	4
	1.41	4.85	5.1
	1.44	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.7 ↑ (4.6)	4.82 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
62.2%

Draw
19.1%

Mariestad BoIS
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

20.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Kalmar - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Kalmar in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mariestad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kalmar is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kalmar to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
30.12.22	Karlskrona - Kalmar	2:5 ✺
28.12.22	Kalmar - Tranås	3:1 ✺
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
09.12.22	Kallinge-Ronneby - Kalmar	0:5 ✺
07.12.22	Kalmar - Halmstad	4:1 ✺
04.12.22	Tyringe - Kalmar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
30.12.22	Mariestad BoIS - Nybro Vikings	2:8 ✺
28.12.22	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	3:5 ✺
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
09.12.22	Mariestad BoIS - Skövde	3:4 OT ✺
07.12.22	Tranås - Mariestad BoIS	5:1 ✺
04.12.22	Dalen - Mariestad BoIS	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
23.02.22	Kalmar - Mariestad BoIS	3:2
30.12.21	Mariestad BoIS - Kalmar	7:4
28.12.21	Kalmar - Mariestad BoIS	2:3 penalties

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