Match Info

SWEDEN: AllEttan Södra

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Troja Ljungby		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.15	Watch
	1.65	4.3	4.15	Watch
	1.6	4	4
	1.63	4.4	4
	1.6	4.2	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	4.22 ↓ (4.6)	4.09 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troja Ljungby
56.2%

Draw
21.5%

Mariestad BoIS
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

20.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

20.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troja Ljungby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:44, 1 - 0, Edwardsson C. (G), Ernstig C. (A),
18:58, 2 - 0, Wahlgren J. (G), Forsmark F. (A), Nordin O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:23, 2 - 1, Cederholm L. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:24, 2 - 2, Weino W. (G), Blomberg A. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:16, 2 - 3, Engvall K. (G), Blomberg A. (A), Astley R. A. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troja Ljungby won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Troja Ljungby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Troja Ljungby is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Troja Ljungby won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37:36 (average 2.5:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Troja Ljungby won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:20 (average 2.1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
11.01.25	Halmstad - Troja Ljungby	1:4 ✺
08.01.25	Troja Ljungby - Tranås	4:1 ✺
06.01.25	Tyresö Hanviken - Troja Ljungby	4:0 ✺
04.01.25	Borås - Troja Ljungby	3:2 OT ✺
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
28.12.24	Troja Ljungby - Västervik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
15.01.25	Mariestad BoIS - Halmstad	5:2 ✺
11.01.25	Dalen - Mariestad BoIS	3:6 ✺
08.01.25	Mariestad BoIS - Visby Roma	3:4 ✺
04.01.25	Karlskrona - Mariestad BoIS	8:2 ✺
30.12.24	Mariestad BoIS - Tranås	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
29.01.23	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	2:8
28.12.22	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	3:5
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Play Offs
28.04.21	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	3:2 OT
22.04.21	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	2:3
Swedish HockeyEttan Ostra
26.02.21	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	1:2 penalties
24.02.21	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	1:3
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
25.01.20	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	0:3

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