The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalmar 47.8%
Draw 21.6%
Södertälje 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
20.7%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
22.2%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Kalmar - Södertälje Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Brochu B. (G)
73. Harenstam L. (G)
8. Felton C.
74. Carell F.
25. Johansson K. (A)
27. Norbe D. (A)
23. Vitelli R.
8. Fizer T.
93. Limpar Lantz M.
16. Ikonen J.
9. Klingsell V.
18. Souch C.
Line 2
84. Bergsland T.
82. Laavainen R.
15. Andersson J. (C)
4. Nilsson N.
78. Ihs Wozniak J.
91. Vanderbeck A.
19. McShane A.
19. Muzito-Bagenda D. (A)
18. Linden J.
95. Vayrynen T.
Line 3
4. Tornqvist P.
44. Arell N. (C)
58. Jonasson H.
6. Soderberg L.
73. Johansson V. (A)
28. Hesselvall A.
24. Ekmark E.
9. Harlestam H. (A)
13. Plato H. (A)
88. Holst-Persson F.
Line 4
5. Aronsson T.
5. Lundgren J.
20. Smeds V.
71. Olsson G.
11. Wigley M.
12. Dani A.
91. Westlin A.
81. Dahlqvist S.
Substitutes
31. Malmqvist C. (G)
35. Munther T. (G)
29. Vesterlund V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:29, 0 - 1, Muzito-Bagenda D. (G), Vanderbeck A. (A),
04:37, 1 - 1, Ihs Wozniak J. (G), Andersson J. (A),
13:12, 2 - 1, Bergsland T. (G), Ekmark E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:15, 2 - 2, Fizer T. (G), Souch C. (A), Harenstam L. (A2)
06:51, 2 - 3, Ikonen J. (G), Fizer T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:59, 3 - 3, Wigley M. (G), Johansson K. (A), Vitelli R. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:11, 4 - 3, Felton C. (G), Vitelli R. (A), Johansson K. (A2)
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 2.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Kalmar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kalmar holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kalmar has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:56 (averaging 2.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kalmar against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:28 goals (averaging 3:2.8 per game).