Match Info
Mestis - Relegation - FinalDate: 4 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Keuruun jäähalli (Keuruu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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KeuPa |
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Haukat Järvenpää |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.37 |
5.45 |
6.15 |
 Watch |
 |
1.29 |
5.61 |
6.63 |
|
 |
1.33 |
5.99 |
6.75 |
Watch |
 |
1.29 |
5.5 |
7 |
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 |
1.25 |
6.15 |
7.9 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.33) |
5.74 ↓
(6.2) |
6.89 ↑
(6.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
KeuPa
70.6% | Draw
16.1% | Haukat Järvenpää
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Haukat Järvenpää has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KeuPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haukat Järvenpää than the current prediction. (+3.8%)KeuPa - Haukat Järvenpää Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
41.  Pasanen J. (G)
| 32. Koskinen R. (G)
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26. Tuupanen T. (C)
| 86. Linnonmaa N.
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10. Heikkila M.
| 2. Palander R.
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93. Jarvenpaa M.
| 49. Jokinen J. (A)
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89. Linjala M.
| 4. Ylikarppa J.
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80. Harjula J.
| 51. Leipijarvi L. (C)
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| Line 2 |
|---|
45. Heikkila E.
| 15. Riissanen O.
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2. Kesajarvi A.
| 44. Sieppi V. (A)
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18. Utriainen O. (A)
| 93. Luhtanen E.
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27. Tarvainen K.
| 23. Railo A.
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7.  Dobos M. B.
| 88. Posti L.
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| Line 3 |
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11. Ikonen V.
| 17. Kutvonen M.
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22. Nyman L.
| 6. Soderqvist J.
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16. Winqvist K.
| 16. Vilen E.
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24. Manni E.
| 95. Olenius L.
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37. Hallfors E.
| 11. Lottanen N.
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| Line 4 |
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12. Krook A.
| 72. Palmu A.
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28. Lehtonen W.
| 81. Lampi E.
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83. Karhapaa I.
| 9. Sieppi S.
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| 71. Vento J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
35. Hannikainen O. (G)
| 30. Halla-Aho N. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 01:09, 1 - 0, Heikkila E. (G), Utriainen O. (A), Dobos M. B. (A2)
- 03:07, 2 - 0, Manni E. (G), Tuupanen T. (A), Hallfors E. (A2)
- 04:41, 3 - 0, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Tuupanen T. (A), Heikkila E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:17, 4 - 0, Harjula J. (G), Jarvenpaa M. (A), Heikkila M. (A2)
- 16:48, 4 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Posti L. (A), Railo A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 11:39, 4 - 2, Riissanen O. (G), Olenius L. (A), Lottanen N. (A2)
- 18:48, 5 - 2, Harjula J. (G),
Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Järvenpää may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, KeuPa is the obvious favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 3:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 8 | KeuPa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22:37 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 01.04.26 | Haukat Järvenpää - KeuPa | 4:2 | | 30.03.26 | KeuPa - Haukat Järvenpää | 5:1 | | 28.03.26 | Haukat Järvenpää - KeuPa | 2:1 | | 27.03.26 | KeuPa - Haukat Järvenpää | 4:0 |
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