The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo U20 51.7%
Draw 20.1%
Kärpät U20 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.4%
19.8%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
21.7%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo U20's form might have worsened.
Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kärpät U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Kiekko Espoo U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
08:58, 0 - 1, Pitkanen E. (G), Gussander N. (A), Mattila U. (A2)
14:55, 0 - 2, Kylmala O. (G), Erholtz A. (A), Jurvelin L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:56, 1 - 2, Hirschovits J. (G), Kovalainen O. (A), Arkiomaa V. (A2)
06:06, 2 - 2, Nyman T. (G), Suominen L. (A), Hirschovits J. (A2)
07:32, 2 - 3, Erholtz A. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Apukka M. (A2)
08:26, 2 - 4, Kahkonen V. (G), Apukka M. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:20, 2 - 5, Viuhkola N. (G), Karjalainen A. (A), Apukka M. (A2)
07:15, 3 - 5, Pahkamaa J. (G), Fredrikson J. (A), Torkki J. (A2)
08:02, 4 - 5, Kurri P. (G), Granholm E. (A), Sundberg C. (A2)
19:29, 4 - 6, Jurvelin L. (G), Kylmala O. (A), Jaako J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo U20 won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Kiekko-Espoo U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kiekko-Espoo U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Kiekko-Espoo U20 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:57 (averaging 3:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kiekko-Espoo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:38 goals (averaging 1.8:4.8 per game).
Watch
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