Match Info

HockeyEttan Norra

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	HockeyEttan TV


	Kiruna IF		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.85	2.12	Watch
	2.7	3.89	2.09
	2.76	4.1	2.08	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.1
	2.73	3.92	2.1
	2.25	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.76)	3.94 ↓ (4.1)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiruna IF
34.6%

Draw
22.9%

Surahammar
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

22.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

23.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Surahammar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna IF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Kiruna IF - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 2)
09:17, 0 - 1, Dahlqvist K. (G), Ekman W. (A), Sjolund H. (A2)
12:12, 1 - 1, Nilsson L. (G),
13:36, 2 - 1, Soderlund O. (G), Ossipov R. (A), Galbavy M. (A2)
15:56, 2 - 2, Karlsson A. (G), Rydell L. (A), Hansson A. (A2)
16:19, 3 - 2, Maki J. (G), Mantynen T. (A), Kauppila S. (A2)
19:10, 4 - 2, Galbavy M. (G), Ossipov R. (A), Hagstrom V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:48, 4 - 3, Rydell L. (G), Semjonovs R. (A), Hansson A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:26, 5 - 3, Nilsson L. (G), Maki J. (A),
12:08, 5 - 4, Semjonovs R. (G), Karlsson A. (A),
13:55, 5 - 5, Ekman W. (G), Semjonovs R. (A), Rydell L. (A2)
19:09, 6 - 5, Nilsson L. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Kiruna IF is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Surahammar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Surahammar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kiruna IF has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kiruna IF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Kiruna IF	4	3	0	0	1	14:8	9
14	Surahammar	4	1	0	1	2	7:11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Surahammar - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
14.02.26	Väsby - Kiruna IF	7:3 ✺
13.02.26	Wings Arlanda - Kiruna IF	5:4 OT ✺
11.02.26	Kiruna IF - Boden	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Borlänge - Kiruna IF	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Falu - Kiruna IF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
18.02.26	Surahammar - Sollentuna	3:4 ✺
15.02.26	Boden - Surahammar	6:2 ✺
14.02.26	Piteå HC - Surahammar	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	Falu - Surahammar	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Surahammar - Strömsbro	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
13.12.25	Surahammar - Kiruna IF	5:1

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