The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitzbühel 53.3%
Draw 21%
Merano Junior 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.8%
21.7%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
22%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitzbühel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Kitzbühel - Merano Junior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Gratzer M. (G)
33. Couture T. (G)
17. Barnthaler M.
5. Golser A.
98. Lattner J.
7. Sherbinin B.
21. Holler A.
88. Levin M.
20. Krainz C.
62. Sproviero F.
29. Stahlberg E.
26. Fuchs J.
Line 2
14. Podlipnik M.
69. Gisonna F.
53. Ebner M.
6. March G.
59. Wittwer E.
10. Tirone M.
8. Livsics D.
9. Tomasini P.
66. Sloboda M.
8. Utnans K.
Line 3
15. Braun L.
78. Oberholler J.
40. Posch B.
23. Frick N.
12. Hanl M.
22. Plank L.
9. Waschnig L.
39. Pardatscher M.
37. Engelhart J.
61. Garau N.
Line 4
94. Bruckner P.
94. Pappalardo P.
44. Nindler E.
17. Hellweger P.
88. Aigner R.
75. Trivellato D.
27. Engelhart L.
11. Cortese L.
19. Aigner J.
2. Winkler T.
Substitutes
39. Grascher P. (G)
24. Gamper C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
04:46, 0 - 1, Tirone M. (G),
11:08, 0 - 2, Levin M. (G), Sherbinin B. (A),
14:49, 0 - 3, Utnans K. (G), Pardatscher M. (A), Fuchs J. (A2)
18:57, 1 - 3, Sloboda M. (G), Posch B. (A), Livsics D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:57, 2 - 3, Wittwer E. (G),
17:47, 3 - 3, Podlipnik M. (G), Livsics D. (A), Lattner J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
05:07, 4 - 3, Sloboda M. (G), Livsics D. (A), Ebner M. (A2)
14:11, 5 - 3, Holler A. (G), Braun L. (A), Posch B. (A2)
16:18, 6 - 3, Wittwer E. (G), Livsics D. (A), Sloboda M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitzbühel won 4.
In recent outings, Kitzbühel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Merano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kitzbühel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kitzbühel holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Kitzbühel has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 84:59 (averaging 4.4:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kitzbühel against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 50:34 goals (averaging 5:3.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
D
LO
L
Pts
5
Kitzbuhel
12
5
1
0
1
5
49:42
18
7
Merano
12
4
2
0
0
6
26:37
16
Last Results with these Odds
Kitzbühel - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Merano Junior - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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Gratzer M. (G) 
Couture T. (G) 
Golser A. 
Lattner J. 
Levin M. 
Stahlberg E. 
Podlipnik M. 
Wittwer E. 
Livsics D. 
Sloboda M. 
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