Match Info

Hokiliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik		Tartu Välk 494

	1	X	2
	1.79	5.1	2.8
	1.75	5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.79)	5.05 ↓ (5.1)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik
50.2%

Draw
17.6%

Tartu Välk 494
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

17.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

18.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tartu Välk 494 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Välk 494 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viru Sputnik won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Viru Sputnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viru Sputnik won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 65:91. (average 3.3:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Viru Sputnik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:43. (average 3:4.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Viru Sputnik	3	3	0	0	0	8:5	6
4	Valk 494	4	1	0	0	3	15:18	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik
Estonian Hokiliiga
15.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:4 OT ✺
08.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	5:1 ✺
22.02.26	Narva PSK - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW
- Tartu Välk 494
Estonian Hokiliiga
15.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:4 OT ✺
08.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Vipers Tallinn	11:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Hokiliiga
15.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:2
14.03.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	3:4 OT
08.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	0:1
07.03.26	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	5:1
14.02.26	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	0:3
13.12.25	Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494	2:3
29.11.25	Tartu Välk 494 - Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik	1:8

Kohtla-Järve Viru Sputnik - Tartu Välk 494