The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kometa Brno 39%
Draw 23.8%
HC Plzeň 1929 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.6%
23.6%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
24.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kometa Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
HC Plzeň 1929 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kometa Brno than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Kometa Brno - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Stezka A. (G)
31. Malik N. (G)
53. Witkowski L.
2. MacPherson D.
82. Kral F.
94. Rubins K.
18. Zboril A.
17. Rohlik O.
75. Ilomaki A. (A)
12. Lalancette C. (A)
9. Flek J. (C)
49. Simon D.
Line 2
28. Zabransky L. (A)
3. Chromiak J.
16. Mikyska D.
5. Jerabek J. (C)
20. Zohorna H.
18. Strnad L.
62. Leino R.
42. Filip M. (A)
81. Brabenec J.
22. Mechura A.
Line 3
4. Irving A.
13. Merezhko I.
21. Kucerik R.
27. Robertson C.
11. Hartl M.
84. Schleiss J.
72. Kollar A.
23. Petman V.
71. Kunc M.
92. Teply M.
Line 4
77. Nedomlel R.
16. Cech A.
27. Cajkovic M.
63. Petman M.
80. Zohorna T.
44. Zemlicka R.
6. Cingel L.
14. Sedlacek I.
Substitutes
33. Rabcan E. (G)
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
52. Titlbach A.
Coaches
. Zabransky L.
. Veber J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:52, Rubins K. (2 min),
14:29, 1 - 0, Zohorna H. (G), Cingel L. (A), Zboril A. (A2)
15:20, Robertson C. (2 min),
16:55, Leino R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:25, 1 - 1, Mechura A. (G), Lalancette C. (A), Rohlik O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:00, 1 - 2, Mechura A. (G), Teply M. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kometa Brno won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Plzeň may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Kometa Brno: Scotka J.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Sedlacek I.
(Back Injury)
Soukup M.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kometa Brno: Pospisil K.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kometa Brno has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:53 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kometa Brno against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 34:17 goals (averaging 3.4:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Kometa Brno
15
4
3
3
5
40:41
21
11
Plzen
15
3
5
1
6
34:35
20
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Kometa Brno: 6.22% Plzen: 3.71%
Last Results with these Odds
HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.81%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
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Stezka A. (G) 
Witkowski L. 
MacPherson D. 
Rubins K. 
Ilomaki A. (A) 
Chromiak J. 
Merezhko I. 
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