Match Info

NMHL

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Krasnodar		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	2.76	3.95	2.07
	2.76	3.92	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 (2.76)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
33%

Draw
23.1%

Dizelist Penza
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

23%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

24.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-3%)

Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
15:20, 1 - 0, Deryabin N. (G), Ryabinin D. (A), Mindubayev R. (A2)
16:03, 2 - 0, Frukalov A. (G), Ryabinin D. (A),
16:21, 2 - 1, Moskvin K. (G), Gafarov G. (A),
18:42, 3 - 1, Mukhamedyarov A. (G), Maksudov A. (A), Ryabinin D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
11:48, 3 - 2, Tsyganov D. (G),
18:27, 4 - 2, Krdzhonyan Y. (G), Klimanov R. (A), Ryabitsev D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:13, 5 - 2, Mindubayev R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 0.

In recent matches, Gvardiya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dizelist is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of home games.

Dizelist is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gvardiya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
18.01.26	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Krasnodar - Samara	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Krasnodar - Samara	5:1 ✺
11.01.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	3:7 ✺
10.01.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
18.01.26	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Samara - Dizelist Penza	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	Samara - Dizelist Penza	4:6 ✺
17.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	2:1 OT ✺
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
18.01.26	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	1:2
17.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	2:1 OT
16.12.25	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	4:3 OT
18.03.25	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	0:4
17.03.25	Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza	3:4 penalties
10.10.24	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	1:4
09.10.24	Dizelist Penza - Krasnodar	6:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
29.10.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	✺

Krasnodar - Dizelist Penza