Match Info

Date: 30 December 2021, Thursday


	Krefeld Pinguine		Nurnberg Ice Tigers

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.25	2.35
	2.65	4.25	2.2
	2.48	4	2.33
	2.55	4.1	2.25
	2.67	4.41	2.19
	2.6	4.2	2.2
	2.63	4.25	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)	4.21 ↓ (4.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krefeld Pinguine
36.3%

Draw
22.2%

Nurnberg Ice Tigers
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

22.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

17.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krefeld Pinguine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nurnberg Ice Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krefeld Pinguine than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krefeld Pinguine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nurnberg Ice Tigers than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nurnberg Ice Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Krefeld Pinguine - Nurnberg Ice Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Krefeld Pinguine will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Nurnberg Ice Tigers will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nurnberg Ice Tigers: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Krefeld Pinguine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nurnberg Ice Tigers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nurnberg Ice Tigers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 36 head-to-head matches Krefeld Pinguine won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 26 matches and goals 97-130.

Including matches at home between the teams Krefeld Pinguine won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 47-71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krefeld Pinguine
German Ice Hockey League
28.12.21	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Krefeld Pinguine	4:3 OT ✺
26.12.21	Krefeld Pinguine - Schwenninger Wild Wings	3:5 ✺
23.12.21	Augsburger Panther - Krefeld Pinguine	3:2 ✺
21.12.21	Straubing Tigers - Krefeld Pinguine	3:4 penalties ✺
17.12.21	Krefeld Pinguine - Eisbären Berlin	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL
- Nurnberg Ice Tigers
German Ice Hockey League
23.12.21	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	5:4 ✺
21.12.21	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Kölner Haie	6:1 ✺
19.12.21	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - EHC München	3:1 ✺
17.12.21	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	3:7 ✺
05.12.21	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
24.11.21	Krefeld Pinguine - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	2:3
15.10.21	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Krefeld Pinguine	2:3 OT
09.04.21	Krefeld Pinguine - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	0:3
06.04.21	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Krefeld Pinguine	5:3
01.03.20	Krefeld Pinguine - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	3:4
10.01.20	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - Krefeld Pinguine	1:0
21.11.19	Krefeld Pinguine - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:5

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