Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Krefelder EV		Herner

	1	X	2
	4.44	5.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (4.46)	5.3 (5.3)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krefelder EV
20.3%

Draw
17%

Herner
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

17%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

14.6%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krefelder EV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Herner have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krefelder EV than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herner than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Herner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Herner is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Krefelder EV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Krefelder EV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krefelder EV
German Oberliga North Hockey
16.02.21	Herforder EV - Krefelder EV	0:8 ✺
14.02.21	Krefelder EV - Rostock Piranhas	4:5 OT ✺
12.02.21	Erfurt - Krefelder EV	7:3 ✺
10.02.21	Krefelder EV - Herforder EV	3:6 ✺
31.01.21	Krefelder EV - Rostock Piranhas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW
- Herner EV
German Oberliga North Hockey
19.02.21	Herforder EV - Herner	1:6 ✺
16.02.21	Erfurt - Herner	4:2 ✺
14.02.21	Herner - Erfurt	3:4 OT ✺
12.02.21	Rostock Piranhas - Herner	1:7 ✺
07.02.21	Herner - Tilburg Trappers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga North Hockey
17.01.21	Herner - Krefelder EV	8:1
10.01.21	Herner - Krefelder EV	3:1
21.02.20	Krefelder EV - Herner	5:8
03.01.20	Herner - Krefelder EV	5:2
24.11.19	Krefelder EV - Herner	1:8
20.10.19	Herner - Krefelder EV	6:2

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