Match Info

Date: 17 November 2021, Wednesday


	Kumla Black Bulls		Surahammar

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.75	1.61
	3.65	5.3	1.55
	3.4	4.2	1.67
	3.37	4.42	1.72
	3.5	4.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.61 ↑ (4.55)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla Black Bulls
25.8%

Draw
19.6%

Surahammar
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

19.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

16.4%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla Black Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Surahammar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kumla Black Bulls than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surahammar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kumla Black Bulls - Surahammar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Kumla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Surahammars is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Surahammars is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Surahammars to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Kumla won 19 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 117-64.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumla won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 54-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kumla HC Black Bulls
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
14.11.21	Köping - Kumla Black Bulls	3:2 ✺
12.11.21	Kumla Black Bulls - Mariestad BoIS	2:5 ✺
10.11.21	Forshaga - Kumla Black Bulls	4:3 ✺
07.11.21	Kumla Black Bulls - Lindlöven	3:4 penalties ✺
03.11.21	Skövde - Kumla Black Bulls	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
14.11.21	Forshaga - Surahammar	4:2 ✺
12.11.21	Surahammar - Köping	4:3 ✺
10.11.21	Skövde - Surahammar	2:3 penalties ✺
06.11.21	Surahammar - Nyköping	3:2 OT ✺
03.11.21	Surahammar - Eskilstuna Linden	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
20.10.21	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	5:3
28.02.21	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	5:2
07.02.21	Kumla Black Bulls - Surahammar	2:4
17.01.21	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	6:2
22.12.20	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	3:4
28.10.20	Kumla Black Bulls - Surahammar	4:1
16.02.20	Surahammar - Kumla Black Bulls	0:1

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