Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Kyiv Capitals		Mogo

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	1.88
	3.02	4.17	1.87
	3.08	4.43	1.86	Watch
	3.1	4.2	1.8
	3.26	4.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.08)	4.21 ↓ (4.43)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyiv Capitals
29.2%

Draw
21.6%

Mogo
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

20.7%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

21.8%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyiv Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Kyiv Capitals - Mogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Voris J. (G)	33. Ancs H. (G)
11. Andreykiv V.	86. Ansons K.
77. Augstkalns E.	24. Berzins R.
59. Bajaruns L. (A)	96. Bicevskis M.
7. Begovs R.	79. Biskins A.
92. Cipruss R.	14. Fenenko N.
48. Colli A.	26. Krums E.
87. Fursa D.	93. Lejnieks R.
67. Hu S.	18. Locmelis I.
2. Jansons E. H.	87. Meija G. (C)
15. Karsums M. (C)	9. Redlihs K. (A)
17. Klinecky D.	7. Sarkanis D.
71. Kostjuks A.	22. Solostejs T.
47. Kovalchuk M.	11. Sotnieks K.
28. Krivonozhkin A.	44. Sprukts G.
10. Novikovs A.	55. Tovariss A.
95. Shamardin I.	23. Vasiljevs R.
78. Sirchenko V.	57. Zaicevs V.
38. Tsarkovskyi D.	17. Zelubovskis E. (A)
20. Zelts K.	21. Zemitis J.
	69. Ziemins K.
Substitutes
72. Boiko N. (G)	37. Mezsargs K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:11, 1 - 0, Novikovs A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 5)
06:21, 1 - 1, Solostejs T. (G), Redlihs K. (A),
08:09, 1 - 2, Sarkanis D. (G), Fenenko N. (A),
11:55, 1 - 3, Sprukts G. (G), Meija G. (A), Sarkanis D. (A2)
14:22, 1 - 4, Zemitis J. (G),
15:39, 2 - 4, Cipruss R. (G), Klinecky D. (A),
19:46, 2 - 5, Ansons K. (Penalty Shot),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:06, 2 - 6, Zemitis J. (G), Zelubovskis E. (A),
15:58, 2 - 7, Meija G. (G), Ansons K. (A),
17:03, 2 - 8, Krums E. (G), Zemitis J. (A), Berzins R. (A2)

Preview

Mogo leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyiv Capitals won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mogo might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kyiv Capitals will win today's game, with odds of 3.13.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyiv Capitals won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 2.5:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyiv Capitals won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Mogo	9	8	0	1	0	50:12	17
2	Kyiv Capitals	8	7	0	0	1	43:16	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyiv Capitals
Latvian Hokeja Liga
01.04.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:5 ✺
30.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	Mogo Awarded ✺
28.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	3:2 ✺
26.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:2 ✺
24.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 L?WLW
- HK Mogo
Latvian Hokeja Liga
01.04.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:5 ✺
30.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	Mogo Awarded ✺
28.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	3:2 ✺
26.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:2 ✺
24.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
01.04.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:5
30.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	Mogo Awarded
28.03.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	3:2
26.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:2
24.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	1:2 OT
07.03.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	9:1
23.02.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	5:3

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