The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mogo 52.4%
Draw 21.2%
Zemgale LLU 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
20.7%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
23.1%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mogo's performance.
Zemgale LLU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zemgale LLU might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Mogo - Zemgale LLU Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Mezsargs K. (G)
31. Ozols A. (G)
44. Aunins D.
84. Antons M.
24. Berzins R.
59. Bajaruns L. (A)
16. Daugavins K.
22. Berzins R.
9. Grinbergs R.
17. Fjodorovs D.
2. Jakobsons K.
9. Gricinskis G. (C)
86. Kalkis R.
7. Jirgens H.
91. Kenins R.
28. Kapura R.
26. Krums E.
77. Karasa A.
5. Megris M.
18. Klavins A.
87. Meija G. (C)
3. Kovalevskis K.
7. Ozollapa R.
23. Millers G.
92. Polcs R.
10. Novikovs A.
15. Skrastins K.
6. Rajala A.
11. Sotnieks K. (A)
13. Rokis K. (A)
55. Tovariss A.
5. Seilis P.
23. Vasiljevs R.
19. Streikiss M.
57. Zaicevs V.
93. Vimba B.
17. Zelubovskis E. (A)
16. Vitols M.
21. Zemitis J.
11. Vorona R.
69. Ziemins K.
8. Zabusovs P.
Substitutes
33. Ancs H. (G)
72. Kuderko J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
11:25, 0 - 1, Rokis K. (G), Bajaruns L. (A), Karasa A. (A2)
15:31, 1 - 1, Polcs R. (G), Kalkis R. (A), Jakobsons K. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:06, 1 - 2, Karasa A. (G), Gricinskis G. (A),
10:48, 2 - 2, Jakobsons K. (G), Ozollapa R. (A), Kenins R. (A2)
18:06, 3 - 2, Zemitis J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:14, 4 - 2, Ozollapa R. (G), Grinbergs R. (A), Zemitis J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogo won 3.
Mogo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zemgale is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Zemgale may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mogo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mogo has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:47 (averaging 2.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mogo against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 37:30 goals (averaging 3.1:2.5 per game).
Watch
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Mezsargs K. (G) 
Rajala A. 
Vimba B. 
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