Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Kärpät U20		HIFK U20

	1	X	2
	2.00	4.75	2.55
	1.85	4.40	2.65
	2.37	3.82	2.38
	2.24	4.51	2.39	Watch
	2.30	3.75	2.35
	2.30	4.10	2.33
	2.16	4.10	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.99)	4.2 ↓ (4.58)	2.44 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät U20
41.5%

Draw
21.5%

HIFK U20
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

19.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

HIFK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:19, 0 - 1, Kauria W. (G), Savolainen V. (A),
08:00, 0 - 2, Tiainen H. (G), Uronen E. (A), Puolanne A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:48, 0 - 3, Karjalahti F. (G), Karjalainen A. (A), Puolanne A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
07:08, 0 - 4, Savolainen V. (G), Karjalahti F. (A), Kauria W. (A2)
08:44, 0 - 5, Sinivuori L. (G), Tiainen H. (A), Jalasti B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 3.

HIFK U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, HIFK U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:60. (average 3.1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 3.4:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK U20 - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
05.09.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	8:7 penalties ✺
04.09.26	Kärpät U20 - Ässät U20	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.26	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	5:6
Finnish SM-sarja U20
22.03.26	Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWLW
- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
05.09.26	HIFK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	HIFK U20 - TPS U20	5:2
20.08.26	HIFK U20 - HPK U20	2:3
19.08.26	HIFK U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	4:3 OT
06.09.25	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2
14.12.24	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	6:0
16.11.24	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2
20.01.24	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	0:1 OT
17.11.23	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	4:3
04.03.23	Kärpät U20 - HIFK U20	6:5 penalties

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