Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Ladya Togliatti		Omskye Yastreby

	1	X	2
	6.29	6.09	1.35	Watch
	6.5	5.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (6.18)	5.92 ↓ (6)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ladya Togliatti
14.7%

Draw
15.9%

Omskye Yastreby
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

15.6%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

15%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Omskye Yastreby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Nikonovich M. (G)	55. Yunin I. (G)
6. Morozov A.	45. Krivko A.
12. Kalimullin M.	29. Denisov P.
7. Pavlov M.	9. Tkachyov Y.
13. Bazhukhin A. (A)	10. Kharionov N.
9. Vorfolomeyev M.	12. Korzin V.
Line 2
28. Pashkevich M.	67. Mudrik Y.
88. Stashevsky N.	4. Chernochub P.
91. Saranov P.	27. Kuryanov A.
34. Mikhalchenko P.	73. Kazantsev R. (C)
47. Skutin Y. (A)	72. Malov D. (A)
Line 3
14. Lineitsev D.	2. Yurchuk A.
96. Ivonin S.	21. Grigoryev I.
17. Guryev V.	87. Burlaka G.
4. Umerenkov M.	18. Laman R.
37. Fyodorov V. (C)	30. Sklokin M.
Line 4
95. Kharitonov G.	50. Mozzhukhin V.
85. Shcherbakov A.	98. Safin R.
71. Merkesov Y.	93. Moruzhov D. (A)
80. Gorshkov F.	95. Fiskov D.
Substitutes
89. Kulagin I.	31. Ivchenko D. (G)
20. Murashov N. (G)	56. Trofimchuk Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:53, 0 - 1, Burlaka G. (G), Laman R. (A), Denisov P. (A2)
14:49, 0 - 2, Kharionov N. (G), Burlaka G. (A), Chernochub P. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:26, 0 - 3, Burlaka G. (G), Sklokin M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:34, 0 - 4, Sklokin M. (G),
18:48, 1 - 4, Shcherbakov A. (G), Umerenkov M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 2.

Recent performances by Ladya have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Omskye Yastreby is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Omskye Yastreby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ladya has had a series of home games.

In this match, Omskye Yastreby is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 47:91. (average 2.4:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ladya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 2.3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ladya Togliatti
MHL
14.09.25	Ladya Togliatti - Kuznetskie Medvedi	2:3 ✺
11.09.25	Ladya Togliatti - Snezhnye Barsy	7:2 ✺
10.09.25	Ladya Togliatti - Snezhnye Barsy	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Mamonty Yugry - Ladya Togliatti	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Ladya Togliatti - Reaktor	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- Omskye Yastreby
MHL
14.09.25	Mamonty Yugry - Omskye Yastreby	3:4 OT ✺
13.09.25	Mamonty Yugry - Omskye Yastreby	2:4 ✺
09.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Avto	8:0 ✺
08.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Avto	8:1 ✺
05.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Belye Medvedi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
10.03.25	Omskye Yastreby - Ladya Togliatti	6:1
15.11.24	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	2:3 penalties
01.10.23	Omskye Yastreby - Ladya Togliatti	3:4
22.09.23	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	2:1 OT
29.12.22	Omskye Yastreby - Ladya Togliatti	6:2
27.09.22	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	2:5
26.02.22	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	2:6

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