What is the expert prediction for Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, April 04, 2026)

Match Info

AHL

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: PPL Center (Allentown, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Lehigh Valley Phantoms		Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	1.83	Watch
	3.05	4.15	1.96
	3.1	4.3	1.94
	3.09	4.36	1.94	Watch
	3.1	4.2	1.85
	3.14	4.35	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.5)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	1.91 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
29.8%

Draw
21.7%

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lehigh Valley Phantoms's form might have worsened.

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lehigh Valley Phantoms, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perets Y. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)
59. Bonk O.	25. Aho S. (A)
23. Dorwart K.	56. Alexeyev A.
44. Edward J.	80. Ansons R.
43. Eklind O.	45. Brunicke H.
56. Gaucher J.	84. Calvert A.
82. Guenette M. (A)	50. Harding F.
72. Harrison B.	49. Harvey-Pinard R.
5. Jiricek D.	22. Howe T.
24. Knuble C.	10. Huglen A.
15. Kyrou C.	14. Imama B. (A)
19. McDonald H.	52. Kemp P. (C)
25. Pederson L. (A)	64. Klassen G.
10. Powell N.	41. Koivunen V.
90. Richard A.	15. Koppanen J.
22. Robertson T.	8. McDonough A.
18. Thompson R.	2. McGroarty R.
26. Tomasino P.	38. Pickering O.
74. Wisdom Z. (A)	44. Pietila C.
Substitutes
35. Kolosov A. (G)	30. Blomqvist J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:17, 0 - 1, McDonough A. (G), Klassen G. (A),
02:35, 0 - 2, Huglen A. (G), McGroarty R. (A),
03:59, 0 - 3, Huglen A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:05, 0 - 4, Huglen A. (G), Harding F. (A), McGroarty R. (A2)
11:07, 0 - 5, Calvert A. (G), Koivunen V. (A), Aho S. (A2)
12:16, 1 - 5, Pederson L. (G), Bonk O. (A), Thompson R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:29, 1 - 6, McGroarty R. (G), Huglen A. (A), Alexeyev A. (A2)
14:50, 2 - 6, Knuble C. (G), Bonk O. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Wilkes-Barre is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 1.

Lehigh Valley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wilkes-Barre is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wilkes-Barre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Wilkes-Barre will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 47:74. (average 2.4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lehigh Valley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 2.6:3.7).

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Last Results with these Odds

Lehigh Valley Phantoms - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 51% of matches with these odds.

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lehigh Valley Phantoms
AHL
03.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	4:2 ✺
27.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:5 ✺
22.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
03.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Laval Rocket	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 ✺
20.03.26	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
03.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:1
29.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:1
15.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:3
14.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:4 OT
06.02.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:6
01.02.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:6
28.12.25	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3 penalties

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