Match Info

AHL

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: CAA Arena (Belleville, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Belleville Senators		Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.88	4.2	1.91	Watch
	2.8	4.2	2.05
	2.75	4.05	2.14
	2.68	4.3	2.15
	2.67	4.44	2.11	Watch
	2.75	4.2	2.05
	2.68	4.05	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)	4.21 ↑ (4.13)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belleville Senators
33.6%

Draw
21.9%

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

22.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

23.7%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+2%)

Belleville Senators - Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Merilainen L. (G)	30. Blomqvist J. (G)
58. Bolduc S.	25. Aho S. (A)
16. Boucher T.	56. Alexeyev A.
13. Bourgault X.	84. Calvert A.
92. Clarke G.	43. Fernstrom M.
10. Daoust P.	62. Gallant Z.
29. Hamara T.	50. Harding F.
14. Harrington S. (A)	49. Harvey-Pinard R.
42. Hodgson H.	85. Hayes A.
43. Kaliyev A.	22. Howe T.
21. Kidney R.	10. Huglen A.
15. Lycksell O.	14. Imama B. (A)
25. O'Rourke R.	52. Kemp P. (C)
32. Pettersson O.	64. Klassen G.
22. Pilon G. (C)	15. Koppanen J.
19. Rees J.	8. McDonough A.
44. Toure D.	2. McGroarty R.
27. Washkurak K. (A)	38. Pickering O.
26. Yakemchuk C.	79. Pieniniemi E.
Substitutes
40. Sogaard M. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:10, 0 - 1, McDonough A. (G), Aho S. (A), Klassen G. (A2)
15:04, 1 - 1, Boucher T. (G), Rees J. (A), Kidney R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, McDonough A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Lycksell O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Klassen G. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kaliyev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hayes A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 3.

Belleville has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wilkes-Barre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belleville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Belleville will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:74. (average 2.4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 2.3:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.52%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belleville Senators
AHL
18.03.26	Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters	2:7 ✺
15.03.26	Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators	3:6 ✺
07.03.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:3 ✺
06.03.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
18.03.26	Laval Rocket - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:4 OT ✺
13.03.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	2:4 ✺
06.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT
08.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	8:3
04.03.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	1:4
12.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	4:3
10.01.25	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:6
21.12.23	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:5
04.11.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT

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