Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.90	2.15	Watch
	2.65	4.00	2.20
	2.48	4.10	2.35
	2.59	4.05	2.28
	2.57	4.15	2.28	Watch
	2.50	3.90	2.25
	2.58	4.14	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
36%

Draw
22.9%

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

22.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Toronto Marlies - Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	1. Murashov S. (G)
33. Benning M.	42. Breazeale D.
53. Cowan E.	63. Brickey S.
38. Danford B.	26. Broz T.
29. Groulx B.	45. Brunicke H.
43. Haymes L.	84. Calvert A.
57. Johnstone M. (A)	49. Harvey-Pinard R.
71. Lettieri V.	85. Hayes A. (A)
36. Mermis D. (A)	22. Howe T.
92. Nylander A.	70. Ilyin M.
56. Pare C.	64. Klassen G.
61. Pezzetta M.	41. Koivunen V.
83. Rifai M.	15. Koppanen J. (A)
11. Shaw L. (C)	8. McDonough A. (A)
42. Sim L.	2. McGroarty R.
3. Thrun H.	38. Pickering O.
77. Tverberg R.	79. Pieniniemi E.
39. Valis B.	44. Pietila C.
76. Villeneuve W.	72. Zonnon B.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)	30. Blomqvist J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:22, 0 - 1, Ilyin M. (G), Pieniniemi E. (A), Zonnon B. (A2)
07:12, 1 - 1, Sim L. (G), Danford B. (A), Rifai M. (A2)
14:21, 2 - 1, Groulx B. (G), Cowan E. (A), Lettieri V. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:57, 3 - 1, Cowan E. (G), Villeneuve W. (A),
04:14, 4 - 1, Shaw L. (G),
16:32, 5 - 1, Rifai M. (G), Benning M. (A),

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:62. (average 3.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:40. (average 3.6:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 ✺
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5 ✺
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT ✺
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4 ✺
24.05.26	Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWW
- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 ✺
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5 ✺
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT ✺
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4 ✺
23.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
03.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4
01.06.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:5
29.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT
27.05.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	2:4
22.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4
05.11.25	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies	3:4 OT
08.01.25	Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:6

Upcoming Matches