Match Info

SHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tegera Arena (Leksands)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Leksand		Luleå

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.3	1.9
	3.4	4.2	1.87
	3.4	3.95	1.98	Watch
	3.56	3.74	1.91
	3.52	3.88	1.91	Watch
	3.25	3.9	1.85
	3.36	4.1	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	4.01 ↓ (4.29)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leksand
27.3%

Draw
23.4%

Luleå
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

21.8%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.9%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leksand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leksand than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luleå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leksand - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Larsson F. (G)	34. Lassinantti J. (G)
8. Caito M.	3. Allard F.
33. Strandell O.	29. Gustafsson E. (C)
29. Lindqvist M.	24. Shinnimin B.
22. Vejdemo L. (C)	91. O'Neill B. (A)
15. Veronneau M.	6. Hedqvist I.
Line 2
10. Johansson A.	27. Laaksonen O.
6. Lundqvist A.	82. Leskinen O.
9. Fortier G.	51. Nurmi M.
20. Stevens N.	96. Andreasson P.
14. Lang O.	76. Levtchi A.
Line 3
3. Nilsson F.	39. Sjalin P.
16. Langvardt R.	23. Sellgren J. (A)
5. Kaderli A.	67. Omark L.
4. Koblar T.	13. Koivistoinen E.
7. Karlberg M.	86. Brome M.
Line 4
21. Lyytinen J.	32. Engsund O.
12. Ostman K. (A)	25. Eriksson F.
24. Eljas A. (A)	9. Liedes H.
34. Cehlarik P.	15. Granberg D.
Substitutes
1. Gidlof M. (G)	31. Ward M. (G)
11. Nilsson W.
30. Tamm V. (G)
Coaches
. Hedberg J.	. Berglund T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
05:16, Andreasson P. (2 min),
10:03, Brome M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:21, 1 - 0, Cehlarik P. (G), Eljas A. (A), Ostman K. (A2)
14:15, Koblar T. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:40, Koblar T. (2 min),
01:51, Levtchi A. (2 min),
01:51, Lang O. (5 min),
02:40, 1 - 1, Omark L. (G), Allard F. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
03:21, 2 - 1, Caito M. (G), Fortier G. (A), Lindqvist M. (A2)
10:59, Liedes H. (2 min),
11:50, Ostman K. (2 min),
17:12, 3 - 1, Johansson A. (G), Veronneau M. (A), Lindqvist M. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone SHL (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leksand won 1.

Leksand is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Luleå has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leksand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leksand has had a series of away games.

Luleå might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Leksand will win today's game, with odds of 3.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leksand won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:53. (average 2.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leksand won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.7:2.3).

Outrights of SHL for now

Lulea: 7.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Lulea	7	3	0	0	4	18:23	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leksand - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leksands IF
SHL
28.02.26	Djurgården - Leksand	2:5 ✺
26.02.26	Färjestad - Leksand	3:2 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Linköping - Leksand	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Leksand - Örebro	3:0 ✺
19.02.26	Skellefteå - Leksand	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLWWW
- Luleå HF
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	3:2 OT ✺
SHL
28.02.26	Luleå - Skellefteå	0:1 penalties ✺
26.02.26	Luleå - Timrå	7:3 ✺
21.02.26	Luleå - Brynäs	4:3 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Växjö Lakers - Luleå	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
17.01.26	Luleå - Leksand	4:0
27.11.25	Luleå - Leksand	2:3 penalties
27.09.25	Leksand - Luleå	1:4
01.03.25	Leksand - Luleå	1:3
07.01.25	Luleå - Leksand	5:4 penalties
23.11.24	Leksand - Luleå	2:1
24.09.24	Luleå - Leksand	5:1

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