The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luleå 44.1%
Draw 22.7%
Brynäs 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
22.8%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
22%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Luleå - Brynäs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Ward M. (G)
31. Kallgren E. (G)
3. Allard F.
28. Kinnvall J.
29. Gustafsson E. (C)
15. Bertilsson S.
24. Shinnimin B.
33. Silfverberg J.
91. O'Neill B. (A)
10. Larsson J. (C)
6. Hedqvist I.
81. Bellows K.
Line 2
27. Laaksonen O.
53. Witkowski L.
82. Leskinen O.
5. Kempny M.
51. Nurmi M.
18. Rodin A. (A)
96. Andreasson P.
41. Scott G.
25. Eriksson F.
23. Lindblom O.
Line 3
39. Sjalin P.
27. Norlinder M.
23. Sellgren J. (A)
14. Hagg R.
67. Omark L.
8. Trivigno B.
13. Koivistoinen E.
36. Olund L. (A)
86. Brome M.
71. Jonsson Fjallby A.
Line 4
32. Engsund O.
47. Pettersson L.
20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.
20. Vesel T.
9. Liedes H.
52. Kopacka J.
72. Tardif B.
Substitutes
34. Lassinantti J. (G)
45. Clara D. (G)
38. Hillstrom G.
Coaches
. Berglund T.
. Gallstedt N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:52, Nurmi M. (2 min),
09:01, Sellgren J. (2 min),
09:27, 0 - 1, Larsson J. (G), Kinnvall J. (A), Bellows K. (A2)
09:43, Olund L. (2 min),
16:08, Nurmi M. (2 min),
16:08, Kinnvall J. (2 min),
18:21, 1 - 1, Brome M. (G), Sellgren J. (A), Omark L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:39, 2 - 1, Andreasson P. (G), Eriksson F. (A),
03:14, 2 - 2, Pettersson L. (G),
03:32, Bellows K. (2 min),
12:27, 2 - 3, Vesel T. (G), Jonsson Fjallby A. (A), Trivigno B. (A2)
13:57, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
13:57, Witkowski L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:50, Omark L. (2 min),
18:45, Kempny M. (2 min),
18:55, 3 - 3, Andreasson P. (G), Allard F. (A), Laaksonen O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:27, Sellgren J. (2 min),
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Bellows K. (Penalty Shot),
1, Andreasson P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kopacka J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Omark L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Silfverberg J. (Penalty Shot),
3, O'Neill B. (Penalty Shot),
4, Lindblom O. (Penalty Shot),
4, Hedqvist I. (Penalty Shot),
5, Vesel T. (Penalty Shot),
5, Leskinen O. (Penalty Shot),
6, Pettersson L. (Penalty Shot),
6, Brome M. (Penalty Shot),
7, Rodin A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Omark L. (Penalty Shot),
8, Norlinder M. (Penalty Shot),
8, Tardif B. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.
In recent matches, Luleå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Brynäs is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Brynäs has had a series of home games.
Luleå is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 61:61. (average 3.1:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 2.5:2.9).
Outrights of SHL for now
Brynas: 11.24% Lulea: 7.88%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Brynas
7
4
0
0
3
21:15
12
9
Lulea
7
3
0
0
4
18:23
9
Last Results with these Odds
Luleå - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.56%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.