The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lillehammer 15.1%
Draw 16.9%
Frisk Tigers 68%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.6%
20%
61.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
20.8%
59.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillehammer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Frisk Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frisk Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frisk Tigers than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frisk Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lillehammer - Frisk Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Morck A. (G)
50. Breivold A. (G)
39. Juusola V.
2. Bjorkman A.
15. Soudsky R. A.
3. Ulriksen P.
16. Ellingsen A.
59. Granholm V.
26. Eidsa Arnestad J. (C)
28. Geheb M. (A)
21. Ellingsen M. (A)
51. Bye C.
Line 2
8. Nilsson D.
57. Anderberg A.
47. Sevanen R.
27. Callaghan C.
19. Fredriksen V.
93. Valkvae Olsen T.
57. Hartikainen S.
85. Haga M. (C)
97. Nyhus E. A. (A)
34. Wold E.
Line 3
12. Ondrcka L.
23. Hermansen J.
10. Strand M.
19. Sunde N.
77. Olsen M.
48. Bjorndal F.
98. Leibnitz J.
91. Granath F.
28. Langland O.
88. Wold S. (A)
Line 4
27. Sletmoe-Kjaernet E.
24. Gustafsson H.
23. Skarpjordet P.
81. Valkvae Erevik M.
14. Evjen N.
31. Skuterud T.
Substitutes
70. Halonen N. (G)
44. Jerven O. B. (G)
Coaches
. Martikainen S.
. Nilsen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
06:08, Ellingsen M. (2 min),
06:30, 0 - 1, Granholm V. (G), Haga M. (A), Wold E. (A2)
09:22, 1 - 1, Hartikainen S. (G), Ellingsen M. (A), Nilsson D. (A2)
12:08, 1 - 2, Callaghan C. (G),
12:26, 1 - 3, Bjorndal F. (G),
19:12, Sevanen R. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:56, Wold S. (2 min),
04:31, Sevanen R. (2 min),
05:10, 1 - 4, Granholm V. (G), Haga M. (A), Valkvae Olsen T. (A2)
09:22, Skuterud T. (2 min),
16:32, Bjorndal F. (2 min),
16:32, Bjorndal F. (2 min),
16:32, Strand M. (2 min),
17:26, 2 - 4, Ellingsen A. (G), Ellingsen M. (A), Juusola V. (A2)
18:45, Granath F. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:05, 3 - 4, Soudsky R. A. (G), Eidsa Arnestad J. (A), Ellingsen M. (A2)
18:21, 3 - 5, Granath F. (G), Wold S. (A), Bjorndal F. (A2)
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillehammer won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Lillehammer (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Frisk Tigers is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Frisk Tigers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Frisk Tigers as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Frisk Tigers in today's match, at odds of 1.38.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lillehammer has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:82 (averaging 2.1:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lillehammer against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 20:42 goals (averaging 2:4.2 per game).
Norway
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Morck A. (G) 
Breivold A. (G) 
Juusola V. 
Callaghan C. 
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