Match Info

WCH IA

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Winter Stadium (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Fight, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Lithuania		Kazakhstan

	1	X	2
	20	11	1.08	Watch
	15	8.85	1.11	Watch
	20	11.14	1.04	Watch
	26	14	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.25 ↓ (22)	11.25 ↓ (12)	1.06 ↑ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
4.6%

Draw
8.2%

Kazakhstan
87.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.1%

7.6%

88.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kazakhstan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lithuania - Kazakhstan Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Kazakhstan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Nauseda F. (G) Stjernen	20. Shutov A. (G) Barys Astana
4. Alisauskas N. (C) Spisska Nova Ves	7. Daniyar Sam. Barys Astana
24. Kovalenko D. Sparta Sarpsborg	14. Mikhaylov E. Saryarka Karaganda
8. Gintautas P. (A) Comet	15. Gatiyatov A. Nomad Astana
13. Cizas U. (A) Comet	24. Shestakov A. Vladivostok
19. Sadauskas D. Liepaja	17. Starchenko R. (C) Nomad Astana
Line 2
2. Rumsevicius P. Energija Elektrenai	16. Khoroshev F. Kazzinc-Torpedo
11. Gusevas K. Annecy	27. Beketayev A.
97. Krakauskas E. Olten	13. Kaiyrzhan D. Barys Astana
88. Grinius M. KeuPa	21. Omirbekov A. Barys Astana
77. Jukna D. Rimouski Oceanic	8. Savitsky K. (A) Barys Astana
Line 3
16. Valivonis S. Dubuque Fighting Saints	3. Breus D. Nizhny Novgorod
14. Seniut A. Unterland Cavaliers	6. Nikitin K. Nomad Astana
12. Zukauskas L. Fenestela	29. Lyapunov K. Barys Astana
7. Cetvertak I.	12. Logvin V. Barys Astana
10. Bendzius A. Energija Elektrenai	11. Simonov S. Barys Astana
Line 4
71. Marcinkevicius H. Punks Vilnius	19. Orazov B. Barys Astana
27. Noreika E. Peoria Rivermen	4. Gaitamirov T.
22. Laimutis D.	18. Muratov B. Barys Astana
23. Dedinas L.	28. Shaikhmeddenov A. Barys Astana
	26. Asetov A. (A) Barys Astana
Substitutes
18. Binkulis E. Energija Elektrenai	1. Boyarkin N. (G) Barys Astana
1. Lubys L. (G) Energija Elektrenai

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:56, 1 - 0, Bendzius A. (G), Gintautas P. (A), Alisauskas N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
01:23, 1 - 1, Savitsky K. (G), Orazov B. (A), Beketayev A. (A2)
06:54, 1 - 2, Gatiyatov A. (G), Asetov A. (A),
15:08, 1 - 3, Simonov S. (G), Nikitin K. (A), Logvin V. (A2)
18:17, 1 - 4, Khoroshev F. (G), Gatiyatov A. (A), Shaikhmeddenov A. (A2)

Preview

Lithuania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kazakhstan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lithuania won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania hockey
Friendly International Ice Hockey
19.04.26	Lithuania - Estonia	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lithuania - Estonia	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lithuania - Poland	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Lithuania - Poland	2:0 ✺
European Cup of Nations Hockey
06.02.26	Lithuania - Spain	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL
- Kazakhstan hockey
Euro Hockey Tour - Channel One Cup
14.12.25	Russia U25 - Kazakhstan	9:0 ✺
12.12.25	Belarus - Kazakhstan	4:1 ✺
Asia Championship Hockey
23.11.25	Kazakhstan - Japan	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Kazakhstan - China	5:1 ✺
20.11.25	South Korea - Kazakhstan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IA
01.05.19	Kazakhstan - Lithuania	3:1

Lithuania - Kazakhstan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide